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錫金屬的全球市場分析 (以季度為基礎)

Global Tin Metals Report Q1 2017

出版商 BMI Research 商品編碼 353393
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 51 Pages
商品交期: 最快1-2個工作天內
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錫金屬的全球市場分析 (以季度為基礎) Global Tin Metals Report Q1 2017
出版日期: 2016年11月16日 內容資訊: 英文 51 Pages




  • 商品市場趨勢預測


  • 產業趨勢分析


  • 全球錫礦業概況:預計持續成長率低


  • 企業簡介
  • Malaysia Smelting Corporation Berhad
  • Minsur
  • PT Timah
  • Yunnan Tin


  • 錫:生產平衡
  • 生產量的預測
  • 消費量的預測


Product Code: 2397-5180

BMI View: : We have revised upward our tin price forecasts to USD19,500/tonne in 2017 from USD17,500/ tonne previously. Prices will increase gradually to USD22,000/tonne by 2020 compared to USD20,500/ tonne previously as the global tin market posts sustained market deficits and inventories dwindle.

Latest Developments And Structural Trends

Price Forecast

  • We have upgraded our tin price forecast to an average of USD19,500/tonne in 2017 and USD20,500/tonne in 2018, from USD17,500/tonne and USD18,700/tonne, respectively. This is due to the tin market falling into a deficit on the back of a stronger growth in global demand for the metal compared to production growth. While the tin price rally since May 2016 will be sustained till the end of 2016, the rally will eventually ease in the long term from 2017 onwards as the market tightness becomes fully priced in, giving way to more gradual increases in the coming years owing to shrinking inventories and deeper deficits. We expect the deficit to deepen from 0.9mn tonnes (mnt) in 2016 to 9.4mnt by 2020, and are thus upgrading our price forecasts.
  • We have also turned more bullish towards metals prices in general for the next six to nine months as the continued and heightened fiscal support provided by the Chinese government to the economy will be a net positive for public infrastructure spending and industrial metals demand over the coming months. Apart from its use in electronics and chemicals, tin is also used in soldering, which is a process in which two or more metals are joined together by melting and putting a filler metal (solder) into the joint. This process is used in a range of industries including construction.

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View

  • BMI Industry View - Tin: Deepening Deficits To Support Prices
    • Table: Global - Tin Supply, Demand & Price Forecasts

Price Forecast

  • Global - Tin: Deepening Deficits To Keep Prices Buoyed
    • Table: BMI Tin Price Forecast
    • Table: Tin Forecasts

Global Trends In Supply, Demand And Trade

  • Global - Tin: Market Deficit Deepening
    • Table: Global Tin Forecasts
    • Table: Tin Production Forecasts
    • Table: Tin Consumption Forecasts

Mine Supply: Tin Ore

  • Global - Tin: China, Australia To Drive Stronger Growth Ahead
    • Table: Global Tin Ore Production Forecast (2011-2020)
    • Table: Global Selected Tin Projects

Competitive Landscape

  • Table: Global - Top 10 Tin Producers By 2015 Output
  • Table: Selected Tin Companies, 2014

Company Profile

  • Malaysia Smelting Corporation Berhad
    • Table: MSC - Key Financial Data
  • PT Timah
    • Table: PT Timah - Key Financial Data
  • Minsur
    • Table: Minsur - Latest Annual Financial Results
  • Yunnan Tin
    • Table: Yunnan Tin - Latest Annual Financial Data

Data Appendix

  • Tin Production Balance
    • Table: Global Tin Forecasts
  • Production Forecasts
    • Table: Tin Production Forecasts
  • Consumption Forecasts
    • Table: Tin Consumption Forecasts


  • Cross Checks
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