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Indonesia Telecommunications Report Q4 2016

出版商 BMI Research 商品編碼 225056
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 79 Pages
商品交期: 最快1-2個工作天內
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印尼的通訊產業(季度更新報告) Indonesia Telecommunications Report Q4 2016
出版日期: 2016年09月14日 內容資訊: 英文 79 Pages

代表印尼的手機業者Indosat 及Telkomsel,在2014年末發表了擴大4G通訊服務進行大規模的設備投資計劃。由於大部分國民的購買力很低,加上LTE的關稅及智慧型手機的價格高,對這個技術沒有太好的預測,不過在市場發展這個意義上是正面的。關於這個,政府和民間部門提出對這個技術的重點投資計劃,預期印尼正逐漸準備好對廣域光纖網的穩定成長。還有行動市場邁向飽和狀態,若語音通話的收益減少,印尼最大的電信業者將不得不對下一代的固定及移動資料網的開發投入力量。還有國內的各通訊公司為了削減營運成本急速推動電波塔的外包化和管理服務策略。




  • 行動通訊及有線通訊的SWOT
  • 政治
  • 經濟
  • 業務營運風險管理


  • 行動通訊
  • ARPU(每1契約平均收益)
  • 有線


  • 亞太地區的風險/利潤、等級


  • 域內市場展望
  • 主要趨勢
  • 市場成長率
  • 市場佔有率
  • 使用概況
  • 行動內容
  • 固網
  • 寬頻
  • 收費電視


  • 法規概要



  • Telkom
  • Telkomsel
  • Indosat
  • XL Axiata


  • 今後的人口結構預測



  • 產業預測技術
  • 資訊來源
  • 風險/利潤、等級技術


Product Code: 1748-4596

BMI View: We maintain our generally positive outlook for the Indonesian telecommunications market in our latest Q4 2016 report update. Current and ongoing investments will help improve the national broadband infrastructure. Nevertheless, the geographical barriers to Indonesia's archipelagic nature and high development costs will pose a downside risk to the government's plan to develop the national fixed infrastructure. By engaging in 4G network and infrastructure sharing arrangements, Indonesia's mobile networks operators will benefit from efficiencies that will not only boost LTE rollout speeds, but also help the operators reduce costs. The proliferation of 4G mobile connections could have a dampening effect on demand for fixed broadband services. However, we envisage downside risks to 4G service uptake, as the new minimum local content requirements on LTE-enabled devices could have the effect of increasing production costs and, consequently, the price of smartphones.

Latest Updates & Industry Developments

  • Total subscriptions in the mobile sector grew to 337.5mn at the end of Q1 2016, for a penetration of 130.5%. Amid market saturation, mobile operators will aim to reverse downward trending ARPUs by migrating subscribers on to post-paid plans and higher-value services.
  • We estimate strong growth in the 3G/4G mobile sector as heavy investments by operators continue to push technological uptake forward.
  • Fixed broadband subscribers will grow by 18.3% in 2016 to reach 9.00mn, and this number is expected to rise to 15.76mn in 2020. However, penetration will still remain low under 6.0% as costs and topological factors limit expansion speed.

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View


Industry Forecast

  • Latest Updates
  • Structural Trends
    • Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Indonesia 2013-2020)

Industry Risk Reward Index

  • Asia Pacific Risk/Reward Index
    • Table: APAC Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q416
  • Indonesia Risk/Reward Index

Market Overview

  • Market Drivers & Trends
  • Mobile
  • Wireline Voice & Broadband
    • Table: Telkom Key Submarine Cable Developments
  • Pay TV

Regulatory Development

  • Industry Risks
  • Main Development: Ministry Threatens to Revoke Licenses
  • Additional Development

Competitive Landscape

  • Table: Key Operator Revenues (USDmn)
  • Table: Spectrum Holdings For Top 5 Cellular Operators, 2015
  • Table: Mobile Market Overiew
  • Table: Indosat
  • Table: Telkomsel
  • Table: XL Axiata

Company Profile

  • Indosat
  • Telkom
  • Telkomsel
  • XL Axiata

Demographic Forecast

  • Demographic Outlook
    • Table: Population Headline Indicators (Indonesia 1990-2025)
    • Table: Key Population Ratios (Indonesia 1990-2025)
    • Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Indonesia 1990-2025)
    • Table: Population By Age Group (Indonesia 1990-2025)
    • Table: Population By Age Group % (Indonesia 1990-2025)


  • Table: Glossary Of Terms


  • Industry Forecast Methodology
  • Sources
  • Risk/Reward Index Methodology
    • Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
    • Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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