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市場調查報告書

中國的石油、天然氣產業(季度更新報告)

China Oil and Gas Report Q1 2017

出版商 BMI Research 商品編碼 177574
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 127 Pages
商品交期: 最快1-2個工作天內
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中國的石油、天然氣產業(季度更新報告) China Oil and Gas Report Q1 2017
出版日期: 2016年11月16日 內容資訊: 英文 127 Pages
簡介

中國由於急速的經濟成長,造成隨著能源需求的擴大,發電能源(尤其是天然氣)的對外依賴度上升,但同時也蘊藏了活用巨大的非傳統型石油、天然氣資源的可能性。但為了達成政府野心般的生產目標,尤其是在複雜的地形構造下儘可能開發非傳統型資源,就需要一個對外資企業的開放性環境。此外,如果經濟成長停滯,也可能出現石油天然氣需求突然縮小的可能性。

本報告提供中國石油·天然氣產業結構和最新趨勢相關分析,提供今後10年的蘊藏量·生產量·消費量·貿易量趨勢推計,彙整業界抱持的課題及未來性的商機評估,再加上主要企業簡介,政府的政策·規定,域內整體產業趨勢等資訊,為您概述為以下內容。

BMI的見解

SWOT分析

產業預測

  • 石油、天然氣的蘊藏量
  • 石油的供給量及需求量
  • 石油煉製能力及石油產品的貿易趨勢
  • 天然氣的供給量及需求量
  • LNG(液化天然氣)
  • 市場收益/進口成本
  • BMI的預測方案相關主要風險

產業的風險/利潤·等級

  • 亞洲:風險/利潤·等級
    • 主要國家的上游工程部門
    • 資源豐富國抱持的結構性問題
    • 對下游工程部門的支援
  • 中國:風險/利潤·等級
    • 中國的上游工程的等級:概要
    • 中國的上游工程的等級:利潤
    • 中國的上游工程的等級:風險
    • 中國的下游工程的等級:概要

市場概況

  • 中國的能源市場概要
    • 概要/政府所扮演的角色
    • 政府的政策
    • 許可證談判
    • 能源方面的國際關係
  • 石油、天然氣相關基礎設施
    • 煉油廠
    • 煤炭液化(CTL)廠房
    • 石油儲存設備
    • 石油開發平台
    • LNG接收轉運站
    • 天然氣儲存設備
    • 天然氣管線
    • CBM(煤層氣)開發平台
    • 煤炭氣化(CTG)廠房
    • CTG開發平台

競爭環境

企業簡介

  • China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC)
  • PetroChina
  • Sinopec
  • China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC)
  • Shell (China)
  • BP China
  • ExxonMobil China
  • Husky Energy
  • Chevron
  • Total
  • 其他的企業:摘要

地區概要

  • 亞洲概況
  • 能源轉移
  • 太平洋各國主導LNG的風潮,但同時也有許多課題
  • 持續擴大的LNG需求
  • 非傳統資源的正面效應
  • 煉油業相關課題

全球的產業概況

  • 全球能源市場概要

附錄

  • 亞洲各國的產業指標:附錄

詞彙表

分析方法

  • 產業預測技術
  • 資訊來源
  • 風險/利潤·等級技術

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目錄
Product Code: 1748-3891

BMI View: : China's bearish crude oil output story will continue to remain in play, with output expected to see consistent declines of 1.0% per annum through to 2025. The outlook for natural gas remains positive, however, with both production and consumption set to experience healthy growth over the next decade. As its rising energy needs will not be met via production, China will become increasingly dependent on crude oil and natural gas imports. Meanwhile, relentless refinery runs among domestic refineries will ensure China's exports of refined fuels continue to grow, flooding the regional market and crimping margins.

Latest Updates And Key Forecasts

  • We forecast China's crude oil production to decline consistently over the next decade, as subdued oil prices, depleting conventional onshore resources and shifting investment focus to natural gas drag on overall output.
  • Consequently, the outlook for natural gas production is more positive, with average annual growth over 2016-2025 expected to come in at 5.0%. Longer-term growth will be driven by greater exploitation of unconventionals, such as shale and coal-bed methane.
  • The Chinese fuels market remains oversupplied, and though healthy demand for light distillates (gasoline and jet fuel) will continue to encourage refiners to maintain run rates. Excess supplies will be offloaded onto the exports market, weighing on prices and hitting margins.

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View

  • Table: Headline Forecasts (China 2014-2020)

SWOT

  • Oil & Gas SWOT

Industry Forecast

  • China - 13th Five-Year Plan: NPC Sets Stage For Deeper Energy Sector Reforms
  • Upstream Exploration
    • Latest Updates
    • Structural Trends
      • Table: Key Offshore JVs
      • Table: Recoverable Shale Gas Estimates In China
      • Table: Major IOC Involvement In China's Shale Gas Exploration
      • Table: Proven Oil And Gas Reserves (China 2014-2019)
      • Table: Proven Oil And Gas Reserves (China 2020-2025)
  • Upstream Projects
    • Table: China - Key Upstream Projects
  • Upstream Production - Oil
    • Latest Updates
    • Structural Trends
    • Risks To Outlook
      • Table: Oil Production (China 2014-2019)
      • Table: Oil Production (China 2020-2025)
  • Upstream Production - Gas
    • Latest Updates
    • Structural Trends
    • Growth Sources
    • Risks To Outlook
      • Table: Gas Production (China 2014-2019)
      • Table: Gas Production (China 2020-2025)
  • Refining
    • Latest Updates
    • Structural Trends
      • Table: Refining Capacity And Refined Products Production (China 2014-2019)
      • Table: Refining Capacity And Refined Products Production (China 2020-2025)
  • Refined Fuels Consumption
    • Latest Updates
    • Structural Trends
      • Table: Refined Products Consumption (2014-2019)
      • Table: Refined Products Consumption* (China 2020-2025)
  • Gas Consumption
    • Latest Updates
    • Structural Trends
      • Table: Gas Consumption (China 2014-2019)
      • Table: Gas Consumption (China 2020-2025)
  • Trade - Oil
    • Crude Oil Trade Forecasts
    • Latest Updates
    • Structural Trends
    • Crude Oil Trade Partners
      • Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (China 2014-2020)
      • Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (China 2020-2025)
    • Fuels Trade Forecasts
    • Latest Updates
    • Structural Trends
    • Fuels Trade Partners
      • Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (China 2014-2019)
      • Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (China 2020-2025)
  • Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG)
    • Latest Updates
    • Structural Trends
      • Table: Gas Net Exports (China 2014-2019)
      • Table: Gas Net Exports (China 2020-2025)

Industry Risk Reward Index

  • Asia - Risk/Reward Index
    • Table: Asia's Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index
    • Table: Asia: Upstream Risk/Reward Index
    • Table: Asia: Downstream Risk/Reward Index
  • China - Risk/Reward Index
    • Upstream Index
      • Rewards
      • Risks
      • Downstream Index

Market Overview

  • China Energy Market Overview
    • Regulatory Structure
    • Fiscal Regime
      • Table: Key Fiscal Indicators
      • Table: Offshore Production Royalty Structure
      • Table: China: Tiered Gas Pricing For Residential Users
      • Table: Shanghai: Tiered Gas Pricing System For Residential Users
    • Licensing Regime
      • Table: 2014 Offshore Blocks Open To Foreign Participation
      • Table: Winners Of Second Shale Gas Licensing Round
  • Oil And Gas Infrastructure
    • Oil Refineries
      • Table: Oil Refineries In China
      • Table: Commercial Crude Oil Storage Terminals In China
    • Crude Oil Pipelines
      • Table: Major Oil Pipelines In China
    • LNG Terminals
      • Table: LNG Regasification Terminals In China
  • Gas Storage Terminals
    • Gas Pipelines
      • Table: Major Gas Pipelines In China
    • Coal-To-Gas Plants
      • Table: Planned CTG Plants
    • Coal-To-Gas Pipelines
      • Table: Planned CTG Pipelines

Competitive Landscape

Company Profile

  • CNOOC
    • Table: Major Producing Areas
    • Table: Key Financial Data (USDbn)
    • Operational Data
  • CNPC
    • Table: Major Upstream Assets
    • Table: Key Financial Data (USDbn)
    • Operational Data
  • Sinopec
    • Table: Major Upstream Assets
    • Table: Key Financial Data (USDbn)

Regional Overview

  • Asia - Oil Outlook Subdued On Persistent Price Weakness

Appendix

  • 13th Five-Year Plan: Key Points
    • Summary Of Contents
    • Chapter 1: Overview
      • Table: Targets
    • Chapter 2: Innovation To Drive Development
    • Chapter 3: Economic Institutions
    • Chapter 4: Modernisation Of The Agricultural Sector
    • Chapter 5: Industries
    • Chapter 6: Expand The Network Economy
    • Chapter 7: Build A Modern Infrastructure Network
    • Chapter 8: New-Type Urbanisation
    • Chapter 9: Coordination Of Regional Development
    • Chapter 10: Environmental Protection
    • Chapter 11: Continue Opening Up
    • Others:

Glossary

  • Table: Glossary Of Terms

Methodology

  • Industry Forecast Methodology
  • Source
  • Risk/Reward Index Methodology
    • Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index
    • Table: Weighting
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