智慧電網之應用技術 是由出版商BCC Research在2011年03月所出版的。
這份英文市場調查報告書包含175 Pages 價格從美金4850起跳。
2010年美國智慧電網之技術市場約有236億美金之市場規模，預計今後5年間將以CAGR6.9%成長，2011年將可達237億美金，並於2016年達331億美金之成長。
本報告為，調查分析美國智慧電網之技術市場，並匯整智慧電網之優勢、法規等市場環境、各種智慧電網之應用技術（通訊技術、感測技術、測量技術、先進組件、監管）概要及市場規模預測（∼2016年）、專利數據、主要企業簡介等，以下列摘要形式闡述。
第1章 簡介
第2章 實施概要
第3章 智慧電網之概要
- 定義
- 智慧電網之優勢
- 智慧電網之道路
- 智慧電網之應用技術
- 市場摘要
第4章 智慧電網應用技術之市場環境
第5章 智慧電網所需之整合通訊：技術、市場
- 摘要
- HAN（HOME AREA NETWORK）
- NAN（NEIGHBORHOOD AREA NETWORK）
- 骨幹網路
第6章 智慧電網所需之感測及測量技術：技術、市場
- 摘要
- 智慧電表
- 廣域測量系統
- 動態線路感測器
- 絕緣外漏感測器
- 其他監控系統
第7章 智慧電網所需之先進組件：技術、市場
- 摘要
- 驅動電子技術
- 故障電流限制器
- 大容量送電電纜
- 分佈式能源
第8章 智慧電網所需之先進監管：技術、市場
- 摘要
- 分佈式智慧代理
- 高性能計算
- 整合控制應用
- 介面、支援決策系統
第9章 附錄：企業簡介
第10章 附錄：專利分析
圖表
Abstract
REPORT HIGHLIGHTS
- BCC estimates that the U.S. market for smart grid technologies was worth
about $23.6 billion in 2010. The market is projected to increase to nearly
$23.7 billion in 2011 and $33.1 billion by 2016, a compound annual growth rate
(CAGR) of 6.9% over the next 5 years.
- Distributed energy generation and storage, particularly grid-connected
wind and solar power facilities, account for the largest share of the market
for smart grid technologies. This sector is estimated to be worth $18 billion
in 2011, increasing at a 9.2% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) to reach $29
million in 2016.
- Transmission lines represent the smallest market share but will experience
the most dramatic growth over the forecast period. This sector is estimated at
nearly$17 million in 2011 and is expected to increase at an 87.2% compound
annual growth rate (CAGR) to reach $389 million in 2016.
SUMMARY FIGURE
U.S. MARKET FOR SMART GRID TECHNOLOGIES, 2010 - 2016
($ MILLIONS)
Source: BCC Research
INTRODUCTION
STUDY BACKGROUND
The century-old U.S. electrical grid has been called the largest
interconnected machine on earth. It consists of more than 9,200
electric-generating units with more than 1,000,000 MW of generating capacity,
connected to more than 300,000 miles of transmission lines. Several years ago,
the U.S. National Academy of Engineering voted the national electrification
made possible by this grid as the "most significant engineering achievement of
the 20th century."
However, the grid is showing its age. There have been massive blackouts in
recent years, including the 2003 Northeast blackout, the worst in the nation' s
history. Although it was accidental, the 2003 blackout was a reminder of the
grid' s vulnerability to terrorist attack. And this blackout was foreshadowed
by a troubling trend: According to the Department of Energy, 41% more outages
affected 50,000 or more consumers in the second half of the 1990s than in the
first half of the decade. The "average" outage affected 15% more consumers
from 1996 to 2000 than from 1991 to 1995 (409,854 versus 355,204).
Regular power outages and blackouts cost the U.S. economy an estimated $80
billion annually, according to a 2005 Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
study. The figure reflects only direct losses to the economy, and does not
take into account the inconvenience and frustration experienced by users
during a power outage.
In addition to growing concerns about the U.S. electric grid' s robustness and
reliability, the grid was designed and built with one basic objective in mind
- keeping the lights on. Meanwhile, other concerns have become increasingly
important in the political and public dialogue about the status and future of
the electrical grid, particularly:
- Energy efficiency
- Environmental impacts
- Consumer choice.
Governments and utilities in the U.S. and elsewhere are investing in new
technologies in order to build a 21st-century grid that:
- Runs more efficiently
- Generates higher-quality power
- Resists attack
- Is self-healing
- Enables consumers to manage their energy use better and reduce costs
- Integrates decentralized
In addition to meeting the need for reliable, high-quality power, these
technologies are intended to meet the economy' s energy needs as efficiently as
possible, optimizing energy consumption and related environmental impacts such
as greenhouse gas emissions.
These technologies are often referred to generically as smart grid
technologies. Smart grid describes a set of related technologies, rather than
specific technology with a generally agreed-on specification. These
technologies fall into five main areas:
- Two-way integrated communications: allow for real-time control,
information and data exchange to optimize system reliability, asset
utilization, and security
- Sensing and measurement: evaluate congestion and grid stability,
congestion and grid stability, monitor equipment health, detect energy theft,
and support control strategies support
- Advanced components: flexible alternating current transmission system
devices, high-voltage direct current, first- and second-generation
superconducting wire, high-temperature superconducting cable, distributed
energy generation and storage devices, composite conductors, and "intelligent"
appliances
- Advanced control that enables rapid diagnosis of and precise solutions to
specific grid disruptions or outages
- Improved interfaces and decision support that reduce complexity so that
operators and managers have tools to effectively
GOALS AND OBJECTIVES
This report is an update of an earlier BCC report that was published in early
2009. Since then, there have been many important developments that have the
potential to affect the development of the smart grid. These developments
include the passage of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (stimulus
bill) of 2009, which earmarked $4.5 billion for investments in smart grid
technology; the growing interest of large private sector players such as
Google, IBM, GE, and Cisco; and a significant increase in the amount of
venture capital flowing into smart grid - related investments.
On the negative side, the 2008 and 2009 recession and the subsequent slow
recovery have dampened the growth of the smart grid, for example, by making it
harder for utilities and suppliers to obtain credit, making the weighted
average cost of capital higher, and impacting the discounting of costs and
benefits in the business case. Regulators in some states (e.g., Maryland and
Hawaii) have rejected utilities' smart grid proposals, arguing that consumers
were expected to bear too much of the cost and risk and that potential returns
do not justify the cost.
In view of these developments, BCC believes that an update of the earlier
report is timely. The overall goal of updating this report is to reassess the
business opportunities for providers of smart grid technologies that will
arise over the next 5 years as products utilizing these technologies increase
their market penetration. In support of this goal, specific objectives of the
report include:
- Identifying the smart grid technologies with the greatest commercial
potential over the next 5 years (2011 to 2016)
- Estimating the market for these technologies in 2010
- Analyzing the technical, economic, and other demand drivers for these
products, and other prerequisites of success in these markets
- Projecting the potential U.S. markets for these technologies through 2016
- Analyzing macro-level political and economic forces that are helping to
shape the market for smart grid technologies.
INTENDED AUDIENCE
The report is intended especially for providers of smart grid technologies and
products based on these technologies. Although the report is structured around
specific technologies, it is largely nontechnical in nature. That is, it is
concerned less with theory and jargon than with what works, how much of the
latter the market is likely to purchase, and at what price.
As such, the report' s main audience is executive management, marketing, and
financial analysts. It is not written specifically for scientists and
technologists, although its findings concerning the market for their work,
including the availability of government and corporate research funding for
different technologies and applications should interest them as well.
SCOPE OF REPORT
The study covers the major enabling technologies for the smart grid, including:
- Communications technologies
- Sensing and measurement technologies
- Advanced components
- Control technologies
- Interface and decision support technologies.
The study format includes the following major elements:
- Executive summary
- Definitions
- Benefits of smart grids
- Smart grid "roadmap"
- Policy, regulatory, and economic environment for the transition to a smart
grid
- Enabling technologies for the smart grid
- Developers and suppliers of smart grid - enabling technologies
- Current (2010) and projected market for smart grid technologies through
2016
- Patent analysis.
METHODOLOGY
The report is based on the results of targeted interviews with producers and
users of smart grid technologies, complemented by a thorough literature review
and BCC' s internal databases. The base year for analysis and projection is
2009 or 2010, in cases where data for all of 2010 were not available at the
time the report was written.
With 2009 or 2010 as a baseline, market projections were developed through
2016. These projections are based on a combination of a consensus among the
primary contacts combined with BCC' s understanding of the key market drivers
and their impact from an historical and analytical perspective.
The methodologies and assumptions used to develop the market estimates and
projections are described in detail in the chapters on smart grid markets.
That way, readers can see how the market estimates were developed and, if they
so desire, test the impact on the final numbers of changing assumptions such
as price.
Table of Contents
Chapter- 1: INTRODUCTION - Complimentary
- STUDY BACKGROUND
- GOALS AND OBJECTIVES
- INTENDED AUDIENCE
- SCOPE OF REPORT
- METHODOLOGY
- AUTHOR' S CREDENTIALS
- RELATED BCC RESEARCH
- BCC ONLINE SERVICES
- DISCLAIMER
Chapter- 2: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
- Table 0 : U.S. MARKET FOR SMART GRID TECHNOLOGIES, THROUGH 2016
- Figure 0 : U.S. MARKET FOR SMART GRID TECHNOLOGIES, 2010 - 2016
Chapter- 3: OVERVIEW OF "SMART GRIDS"
- DEFINITIONS
- BENEFITS OF SMART GRIDS
- THE PATH TO A SMART GRID
- ENABLING TECHNOLOGIES FOR THE SMART GRID
- MARKET SUMMARY
- Table 3 : U.S. MARKET FOR SMART GRID TECHNOLOGIES BY TYPE OF TECHNOLOGY,
2010 THROUGH 2016
- Figure 6 : U.S. MARKET FOR SMART GRID TECHNOLOGIES, 2010 - 2016
- Figure 7 : U.S. SMART GRID TECHNOLOGIES MARKET SHARES, 2010 - 2016
- Table L7 :
Chapter- 4: MARKET ENVIRONMENT FOR SMART GRID - ENABLING TECHNOLOGIES
- LEGAL AND REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT
- FINANCIAL AND ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT
Chapter- 5: INTEGRATED COMMUNICATIONS FOR SMART GRIDS: TECHNOLOGIES AND MARKETS
- SUMMARY
- HOME AREA NETWORKS
- NEIGHBORHOOD AREA NETWORKS
- BACKBONE COMMUNICATIONS
Chapter- 6: SENSING AND MEASUREMENT FOR SMART GRIDS: TECHNOLOGIES AND MARKETS
- SUMMARY
- SMART METERING
- WIDE-AREA MEASUREMENT SYSTEMS
- DYNAMIC LINE-RATING SENSORS
- INSULATOR LEAKAGE SENSORS
- OTHER MONITORING SYSTEMS
Chapter- 7: ADVANCED COMPONENTS FOR SMART GRIDS: TECHNOLOGIES AND MARKETS
- SUMMARY
- POWER ELECTRONICS
- FAULT CURRENT LIMITERS
- HIGH-CAPACITY TRANSMISSION CABLE
- DISTRIBUTED ENERGY RESOURCES
- Table 32 : MARKET FOR DISTRIBUTED GENERATION AND POWER STORAGE SYSTEMS,
THROUGH 2016
Chapter- 8: ADVANCED CONTROLS FOR SMART GRIDS: TECHNOLOGIES AND MARKETS
- SUMMARY
- DISTRIBUTED INTELLIGENT AGENTS
- HIGH-PERFORMANCE COMPUTING
- CENTRALIZED CONTROL APPLICATIONS
- INTERFACES AND DECISION-SUPPORT SYSTEMS
Chapter- 9: APPENDIX A: COMPANY PROFILES
- INTEGRATED COMMUNICATIONS
- SMART GRID SENSING AND MEASUREMENT TECHNOLOGIES
- ADVANCED COMPONENTS
- DISTRIBUTED GENERATION
- SMART GRID CONTROLS
Chapter- 10: APPENDIX B: PATENT ANALYSIS
- Table 65 : NUMBER OF U.S. SMART GRID - RELATED PATENTS BY TYPE OF
TECHNOLOGY
- Figure 12 : U.S. SMART GRID - RELATED PATENTS BY TYPE OF TECHNOLOGY, AS OF
FEBRUARY 1, 2011
- Table L12 :
List of Tables
- Table 1 : U.S. CONSUMPTION OF FOSSIL FUELS FOR ELECTRICITY GENERATION,
THROUGH 2009
- Table 2 : MAJOR CLASSES OF SMART GRID - ENABLING TECHNOLOGIES
- Table 3 : U.S. MARKET FOR SMART GRID TECHNOLOGIES BY TYPE OF TECHNOLOGY,
2010 THROUGH 2016
- Table 4 : U.S. MARKET FOR INTEGRATED SMART GRID COMMUNICATIONS
TECHNOLOGIES, THROUGH 2016
- Table 5 : ENABLING TECHNOLOGIES FOR SMART GRID HOME AREA NETWORKS
- Table 6 : COMPANIES THAT MARKET OR ARE DEVELOPING COMMUNICATIONS
TECHNOLOGIES FOR SMART GRID HANS
- Table 7 : MARKET FOR SMART GRID HAN COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGIES, THROUGH
2016
- Table 8 : ENABLING TECHNOLOGIES FOR SMART GRID NEIGHBORHOOD AREA NETWORKS
- Table 9 : COMPANIES THAT MARKET OR ARE DEVELOPING COMMUNICATIONS
TECHNOLOGIES FOR SMART GRID NANS
- Table 10 : MARKET FOR SMART GRID NAN COMMUNICATON TECHNOLOGIES, THROUGH
2016
- Table 11 : MARKET FOR SMART GRID BACKBONE COMMUNICATON TECHNOLOGIES,
THROUGH 2016
- Table 12 : U.S. MARKET FOR SMART GRID SENSING AND MEASUREMENT
TECHNOLOGIES, THROUGH 2016
- Table 13 : SMART METER PRODUCERS
- Table 14 : MARKET FOR SMART METERS AND RELATED TECHNOLOGIES, THROUGH 2016
- Table 15 : PROVIDERS OF TECHNOLOGIES FOR SMART GRID WAMS
- Table 16 : MARKET FOR PMUS AND RELATED WAMS TECHNOLOGIES, THROUGH 2016
- Table 17 : PROVIDERS OF TECHNOLOGIES FOR SMART GRID WAMS
- Table 18 : MARKET FOR DYNAMIC LINE-RATING SENSORS AND RELATED
TECHNOLOGIES, THROUGH 2016
- Table 19 : U.S. MARKET FOR REMOTE INSULATOR LEAKAGE CURRENT SENSORS FOR
SMART GRID APPLICATIONS, THROUGH 2016
- Table 20 : PROVIDERS OF OTHER TYPES OF SMART GRID SENSING AND MEASURING
TECHNOLOGIES
- Table 21 : U.S. MARKET FOR OTHER MONITORING AND SENSING TECHNOLOGIES FOR
SMART GRID APPLICATIONS, THROUGH 2016
- Table 22 : U.S. MARKET FOR ADVANCED SMART GRID COMPONENTS, THROUGH 2016
- Table 23 : TYPES OF POWER ELECTRONIC DEVICES
- Table 24 : PROVIDERS OF POWER ELECTRONICS DEVICES FOR SMART GRID
APPLICATIONS
- Table 25 : U.S. POWER ELECTRONICS MARKET FOR SMART GRID APPLICATIONS,
THROUGH 2016
- Table 26 : SUPPLIERS OF FAULT CURRENT LIMITERS
- Table 27 : U.S. ELECTRIC UTILITY MARKET FOR FAULT CURRENT LIMITERS,
THROUGH 2016
- Table 28 : PROVIDERS OF HIGH-CAPACITY TRANSMISSION CABLE FOR THE SMART GRID
- Table 29 : MARKET FOR ADVANCED ELECTRIC TRANSMISSION CABLE, THROUGH 2016
- Table 30 : MARKET FOR SUPERCONDUCTING ELECTRIC TRANSMISSION CABLE, THROUGH
2016
- Table 31 : MARKET FOR HIGH-CAPACITY OVERHEAD CONDUCTOR CABLE, THROUGH 2016
- Table 32 : MARKET FOR DISTRIBUTED GENERATION AND POWER STORAGE SYSTEMS,
THROUGH 2016
- Table 33 : MAJOR PHOTOVOLTAIC TECHNOLOGIES
- Table 34 : MAJOR FUEL CELL TECHNOLOGIES
- Table 35 : PROVIDERS OF DISTRIBUTED GENERATION EQUIPMENT
- Table 36 : MARKET FOR DISTRIBUTED GENERATION SYSTEMS, THROUGH 2016
- Table 37 : PROJECTED U.S. CONSUMPTION OF PHOTOVOLTAICS, THROUGH 2016
- Table 38 : PROJECTED U.S. MARKET FOR GRID-CONNECTED PHOTOVOLTAICS, 2010
THROUGH 2016
- Table 39 : PROJECTED U.S. MARKET FOR WIND TURBINES, THROUGH 2016
- Table 40 : U.S. FUEL CELL MARKET BY TECHNOLOGY TYPE, THROUGH 2016
- Table 41 : PROJECTED U.S. MARKET FOR GRID-CONNECTED MICROTURBINES, THROUGH
2016
- Table 42 : PROVIDERS OF DISTRIBUTED STORAGE EQUIPMENT
- Table 43 : MARKET FOR DISTRIBUTED STORAGE SYSTEMS, THROUGH 2016
- Table 44 : U.S. MARKET FOR NAS BATTERY POWER STORAGE SYSTEMS, THROUGH 2016
- Table 45 : U.S. MARKET FOR VANADIUM REDOX BATTERY DISTRIBUTED POWER
STORAGE SYSTEMS, THROUGH 2016
- Table 46 : U.S. MARKET FOR SUPERCONDUCTING POWER STORAGE SYSTEMS, THROUGH
2016
- Table 47 : U.S. MARKET FOR SUPERCAPACITOR STORAGE SYSTEMS, THROUGH 2016
- Table 48 : U.S. MARKET FOR COMPRESSED AIR STORAGE SYSTEMS, THROUGH 2016
- Table 49 : U.S. MARKET FOR GRID-CONNECTED PHEVS, THROUGH 2016
- Table 50 : U.S. MARKET FOR ADVANCED SMART GRID CONTROL TECHNOLOGIES,
THROUGH 2016
- Table 51 : PROVIDERS OF DISTRIBUTED INTELLIGENT AGENTS
- Table 52 : MARKET FOR DISTRIBUTED INTELLIGENT AGENTS, THROUGH 2016
- Table 53 : MARKET FOR DIGITAL PROTECTIVE RELAYS, THROUGH 2016
- Table 54 : MARKET FOR INTELLIGENT TAP CHANGERS, THROUGH 2016
- Table 55 : MARKET FOR DISTRIBUTED ENERGY MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS, THROUGH 2016
- Table 56 : MARKET FOR GRID-FRIENDLY APPLIANCE CONTROLLERS, THROUGH 2016
- Table 57 : MARKET FOR DISTRIBUTED POWER-FLOW CONTROLLERS, THROUGH 2016
- Table 58 : MARKET FOR SMART GRID - RELATED DISTRIBUTED COMPUTING
TECHNOLOGIES, THROUGH 2016
- Table 59 : CENTRALIZED APPLICATIONS FOR THE SMART GRID
- Table 60 : PROVIDERS OF CENTRALIZED SMART GRID CONTROL APPLICATIONS
- Table 61 : MARKET FOR CENTRALIZED SMART GRID CONTROL APPLICATIONS, THROUGH
2016
- Table 62 : INTERFACE AND DECISION-SUPPORT TECHNOLOGIES FOR THE SMART GRID
- Table 63 : PROVIDERS OF INTERFACE AND DECISION-SUPPORT TECHNOLOGIES FOR
SMART GRID APPLICATIONS
- Table 64 : MARKET FOR INTERFACE AND DECISION-SUPPORT TECHNOLOGIES FOR
SMART GRID APPLICATIONS, THROUGH 2016
- Table 65 : NUMBER OF U.S. SMART GRID - RELATED PATENTS BY TYPE OF
TECHNOLOGY
List of Figures
- Figure 1 : AVERAGE RETAIL PRICE OF ELECTRICITY, 2000 - 2010
- Figure 2 : U.S. ELECTRICITY GENERATION BY FUEL TYPE, 2009
- Figure 3 : U.S. FOSSIL FUEL IMPORTS, 2009
- Figure 4 : NATIONAL ELECTRICITY DELIVERY TECHNOLOGIES OVERALL ROADMAP
- Figure 5 : NATIONAL ELECTRICITY DELIVERY ROADMAP FOR DEVELOPING CRITICAL
TECHNOLOGIES
- Figure 6 : U.S. MARKET FOR SMART GRID TECHNOLOGIES, 2010 - 2016
- Figure 7 : U.S. SMART GRID TECHNOLOGIES MARKET SHARES, 2010 - 2016
- Figure 8 : TRENDS IN U.S. MARKET FOR INTEGRATED SMART GRID COMMUNICATIONS,
2010 - 2016
- Figure 9 : TRENDS IN THE U.S. MARKET FOR SMART GRID SENSING AND
MEASUREMENT, 2010 - 2016
- Figure 10 : TRENDS IN U.S. MARKET FOR ADVANCED SMART GRID COMPONENTS, 2010
- 2016
- Figure 11 : TRENDS IN THE U.S. MARKET FOR ADVANCED SMART GRID COMPONENTS,
2010 - 2016
- Figure 12 : U.S. SMART GRID - RELATED PATENTS BY TYPE OF TECHNOLOGY, AS OF
FEBRUARY 1, 2011
智慧電網技術最大的市場機會
2011年05月23日
BBC Research的新報告針對美國的智慧電網技術市場，進行到2016年為止的分析，及考察供應商的市場機會。
Global Information, Inc.已開始銷售美國調查公司BCC Research所發行的報告書「Enabling Technologies for the Smart Grid (智慧電網之應用技術)」
美國的電力網已有100年以上的歷史，且已顯現老化的徵兆（2003年東北部歷史性的大停電等）。電力公司和政府該做什麼才能解決事態呢？例如美國擴大對智慧電網技術的投資，統合所謂與可再生能源和燃料電池技術連接之分散型能源生成•儲藏設備，支援有效的新型電力網。21世紀的電力網能生產更高品質的電力，能自我復原，耐衝擊性更強，且能藉由消費者自己管理來使用能源與削減成本。在由175頁構成的本報告中，包含為評估供應商維持最新資訊，到2015年為止的今後5年間，利用這些技術之產品普及的過程中產生的商機，其所需重要的考察。
依據BBC Research的預測，實現智慧電網技術的全球市場價值，在2011年階段約為237億美元，2015年則為331億美元，5年的年平均成長率(CAGR)為6.9％。
以區塊為單位分解智慧電網技術市場時，可以看到以下傾向。
- 1. 分配能源生成•儲藏是最大區塊，預測到2016年為止的年平均成長率為9.2％，2016年的市場規模為292億美元。該區塊2011年的市場規模約181億美元。
- 2. 通信部門是第2大區塊，2011年的市場價值推算為28億美元。然該部門今後的前景不被看好，預估年平均成長率為-23.6％。
- 3. 送電線是最小的區塊,，然年平均成長率最高到87.2％，預測2016年時為3億8900萬美元。2011年階段的市場規模是1690萬美元。
- 4.傳感器•測量•控制區塊，預測將從2011年的27億美元到2016年的31億美元，以年平均3％成長。
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