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亞太地區的已開發國家的固定通訊服務趨勢、預測 (2015-2020年)

Fixed Services in Developed Asia-Pacific: Trends and Forecasts 2016-2021

出版商 Analysys Mason 商品編碼 355641
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 26 Slides
商品交期: 最快1-2個工作天內
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亞太地區的已開發國家的固定通訊服務趨勢、預測 (2015-2020年) Fixed Services in Developed Asia-Pacific: Trends and Forecasts 2016-2021
出版日期: 2017年01月06日 內容資訊: 英文 26 Slides




  • 模式化調查
    • 澳洲
    • 香港
    • 日本
    • 新加坡
    • 韓國
    • 台灣
  • 詳細分析
    • 澳洲
    • 香港
    • 新加坡
    • 韓國


  • 固定連線數
    • 語音、寬頻、網路電視、撥號
    • 窄頻語音、VoBB
    • DSL、FTTH/B、電纜、BFWA、其他
  • 固定收益
    • 服務、零售
    • 語音、寬頻、網路電視、撥號、BNS
    • DSL、FTTH/B、電纜、BFWA、其他
  • 固定語音流量
    • 發信時間、MoU



"Most countries in developed Asia-Pacific have mature telecoms markets; total telecoms retail revenue will increase steadily between 2015 and 2021 at a 1.5% CAGR, thanks to service improvements."

The number of fixed broadband connections in developed Asia-Pacific (DVAP) is expected to grow at a CAGR of 2.2% during the forecast period, mainly driven by FTTP/B. In addition, increasing fixed broadband penetration will provide strong momentum for IPTV revenue growth.


  • commentary and trend analysis to support our 5-year forecast for DVAP
  • an outlook for technology improvements and infrastructure developments
  • forecasts that are informed by on-the-ground market experts from our Research and Consulting divisions, and external interviews.


Countries modelled individually

  • Australia
  • Hong Kong
  • Japan
  • Singapore
  • South Korea
  • Taiwan


Fixed connections
  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up
  • Narrowband voice, VoBB
  • DSL, FTTH/B, cable, BFWA, other
Fixed revenue
  • Service revenue, retail revenue
  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up, BNS
  • DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other
Fixed voice traffic
  • Outgoing minutes, MoU


Martin Scott (Principal Analyst) co-ordinates Analysys Mason's research initiatives related to media, TV, fixed broadband and convergence. He manages the Fixed Broadband and Multi-Play research programme and is a significant contributor to the Future Comms and Media programme. Martin has held numerous positions within Analysys Mason during the last 10 years, including heading the company's Consumer Services, Data and Regional Markets practices. He also launched Analysys Mason's Connected Consumer and Consumer smartphone usage series of research. His primary areas of specialisation include service convergence, OTT video and media, consumer smartphone usage, the bundling and pricing of multi-play services.

Sherrie Huang (Research Programme head) is the lead analyst for Analysys Mason's Asia-Pacific research programme and is based in our Singapore office. Her research covers the entire Asia-Pacific region, and includes market data and forecasts for 15 key markets as well as thematic reports covering key telecoms industry trends in the region. Sherrie has extensive expertise in fixed and mobile services and has covered the telecoms industry from various angles, including strategy, market sizing and forecasting, end-user case studies, cost modelling and regulatory issues. She previously worked at IDC, Ovum and ZTE in various Asia-Pacific countries in product marketing, project management, and research and consulting roles.

Cai Shiyu (Research Analyst) Shiyu contributes to Analysys Mason's Asia-Pacific research programme, and is based in our Singapore office. He had been involved in data collection process as well as analysis of telecoms market trends in developed and emerging Asia-Pacific. Before joining Analysys Mason, he worked as an intern with business development division of SAP, and conducted qualitative and quantitative research on cloud computing market. Shiyu holds a Bachelor's degree in finance and operations management at NUS Business School, Singapore.

Table of Contents

  • 5. Executive summary
  • 6. Executive summary
  • 7. Worldwide trends
  • 8. Revenue worldwide will increase in the mobile and fixed segments, driven by infrastructure investments in network roll-out
  • 9. Fixed services: FTTP/B predominance in DVAP and EMAP will boost worldwide fibre subscription to over 1 billion in 2021
  • 10. Fixed broadband: Household penetration will increase in all regions, driven by the availability of NGA and attractive bundles
  • 11. Regional trends
  • 12. Revenue and ARPU: DVAP telecoms retail revenue will maintain healthy growth, driven by new services and bundling
  • 13. Fixed services: FTTP/B migration will drive fixed broadband market growth from 2016 to 2021 and support IPTV growth
  • 14. Fixed broadband: fixed broadband penetration growth during the forecast period will be driven by bandwidth demand and NBN plans
  • 15. Geographical coverage: By 2021, 4G/5G will account for 90% of mobile connections; FTTB household penetration will reach 93%
  • 16. DVAP - fixed: NGA penetration will continue to increase, driving IPTV take-up and slowing down the decline in ASPU
  • 17. Forecast methodology and assumptions
  • 18. We have a disciplined process of forecasting; our on-the-ground analysts and consultants collaborate closely to assess market dynamics
  • 19. We use a vast variety of primary and secondary research for data collection; we use five key drivers and follow strict principles in forecasts
  • 20. A robust and comparable set of historical data is the starting point for our forecasts; this involves three main activities
  • 21. About the authors and Analysys Mason
  • 22. About the authors
  • 23. About Analysys Mason
  • 24. Research from Analysys Mason
  • 25. Consulting from Analysys Mason

List of figures

  • Figure 1: Telecoms retail revenue by service type and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), developed Asia-Pacific, 2011-2021
  • Figure 2: Telecoms retail revenue growth by type and country, worldwide, 2015-2021
  • Figure 3: Fixed broadband connections by type, and mobile broadband, fixed voice, VoBB and IPTV connections, worldwide, 2011-2021
  • Figure 4: Fixed broadband penetration of households by region, 2011-2021
  • Figure 5: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, fixed voice and fixed broadband ASPU, and mobile ARPU, developed Asia-Pacific, 2011-2021
  • Figure 6: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, total service revenue and growth rates, developed Asia-Pacific, 2015-2021
  • Figure 7: Connections by type, and growth rates, developed Asia-Pacific, 2015-2021
  • Figure 8: Fixed broadband connections by type, and fixed voice, IPTV and mobile broadband connections, developed Asia-Pacific, 2011-2021
  • Figure 9: Fixed broadband penetration of households by country, developed Asia-Pacific, 2011-2021
  • Figure 10: Mobile connections by technology generation and NGA's share of fixed broadband connections, by country, developed Asia-Pacific, 2021
  • Figure 11: Fixed penetration rates by service type, DVAP, 2011-2021
  • Figure 12: Fixed ASPU by service type, DVAP, 2011-2021
  • Figure 13: Summary of key fixed market drivers and assumptions, DVAP
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