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市場調查報告書

亞太地區的新興國家的固定通訊服務趨勢、預測 (2015-2020年)

Fixed Services in Emerging Asia-Pacific: Trends and Forecasts 2015-2020

出版商 Analysys Mason 商品編碼 355587
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 31 Slides
商品交期: 最快1-2個工作天內
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亞太地區的新興國家的固定通訊服務趨勢、預測 (2015-2020年) Fixed Services in Emerging Asia-Pacific: Trends and Forecasts 2015-2020
出版日期: 2016年03月29日 內容資訊: 英文 31 Slides
簡介

亞太地區的新興國家從2014年到2020年的通訊零售收益的年複合成長率 (CAGR) 預計從2010年到2014年從7.3%大幅下跌,成為2.9%。

本報告提供亞太地區的新興國家的固定通訊服務趨勢調查,全球固定通訊市場趨勢,亞太地區的新興國家的各種固定服務的連線數、零售收益、流量的變化與預測,市場趨勢與市場的各種影響因素分析,主要國家的個別分析等彙整資料。

調查對象國家

  • 模式化調查
    • 孟加拉
    • 中國
    • 印度
    • 印尼
    • 馬來西亞
    • 巴基斯坦
    • 斯里蘭卡
    • 泰國
    • 越南
  • 詳細分析
    • 中國
    • 印尼
    • 馬來西亞
    • 泰國

調查資料

  • 固定連線數
    • 語音、寬頻、網路電視、撥號
    • 窄頻語音、VoBB
    • DSL、FTTH/B、電纜、BFWA、其他
  • 固定收益
    • 服務、零售
    • 語音、寬頻、網路電視、撥號、BNS
    • DSL、FTTH/B、電纜、BFWA、其他
  • 固定語音流量
    • 發信時間、MoU
目錄

"Telecoms retail revenue in emerging Asia-Pacific will grow at a CAGR of 2.9% during 2014-2020, which is much lower than its historical CAGR of 7.3% during 2010-2014."

Fixed broadband, together with mobile handset data and mobile broadband, will be key growth contributors to telecoms revenue in emerging Asia-Pacific (EMAP), driven by the increasing demand for high bandwidth services.

This report and associated data annex provide:

  • commentary and trend analysis to support our 5-year forecast for EMAP
  • worldwide context, regional analysis and commentary on four countries: China, Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand
  • forecasting informed by on-the-ground market experts from our Research and Consulting divisions.

GEOGRAPHICAL COVERAGE

Countries modelled individuallyDetailed country commentary
  • Bangladesh
  • China
  • India
  • Indonesia
  • Malaysia
  • Pakistan
  • Sri Lanka
  • Thailand
  • Vietnam
  • China
  • Indonesia
  • Malaysia
  • Thailand

DATA COVERAGE

Fixed connections
  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up
  • Narrowband voice, VoBB
  • DSL, FTTH/B, cable, BFWA, other
Fixed revenue
  • Service, retail
  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up, BNS
  • DSL, FTTH/B, cable, BFWA, other
Fixed voice traffic
  • Outgoing minutes, MoU

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Sherrie Huang (Research Programme head) Sherrie Huang is the lead analyst for Analysys Mason's Asia-Pacific research programme and is based in our Singapore office. Her research covers the entire Asia-Pacific region, and includes market data and forecasts for 15 key markets as well as thematic reports covering key telecoms industry trends in the region. Sherrie has extensive expertise in fixed and mobile services and has covered the telecoms industry from various angles, including strategy, market sizing and forecasting, end-user case studies, cost modelling and regulatory issues. She previously worked at IDC, Ovum and ZTE in various Asia-Pacific countries in product marketing, project management, and research and consulting roles. Sherrie has a Master's degree in computer science from the National University of Singapore (NUS) and a Bachelor's degree in Electrical Engineering from Xiamen University, China.

Table of Contents

  • 5. Executive summary
  • 6. Executive summary
  • 7. Worldwide trends
  • 8. Worldwide: EMAP will have the highest fixed revenue growth, while CEE and WE will be the only regions to see decline
  • 9. Worldwide: FTTH/B connections will increase to 425 million worldwide; penetration will dominate in EMAP, DVAP and CEE
  • 10. Worldwide: Household penetration will increase from 39% to 48%, and EMAP will contribute the strongest growth
  • 11. Regional trends
  • 12. EMAP: Telecoms revenue will decline, but fixed broadband and pay-TV services will grow as their user bases increase
  • 13. EMAP: Cable and fibre will drive overall fixed broadband growth, and VDSL will support DSL growth from 2016
  • 14. EMAP: Fixed broadband penetration is low, but will grow in most of the EMAP countries
  • 15. EMAP: China will have the highest share of 4G connections and Malaysia will lead fixed broadband penetration
  • 16. EMAP: Fixed broadband and IPTV revenue will grow, with increasing service take-up driven by intensive fibre roll-out
  • 17. Country-level trends
  • 18. China: Price wars will increase penetration at the expense of ARPU, and restructuring will intensify market competition
  • 19. Indonesia: Better coverage and fibre deployment will boost fixed broadband adoption; fixed voice continues to decline
  • 20. Malaysia: Better fibre connectivity as a result of operators' network roll-outs will drive fixed broadband and IPTV growth
  • 21. Thailand: Investment in fixed broadband network upgrades will continue, enabling multi-play services
  • 22. Forecast methodology and assumptions
  • 23. We have a disciplined process of forecasting; our on-the-ground analysts and consultants collaborate closely to assess market dynamics
  • 24. We use a vast variety of primary and secondary research for data collection; we use five key drivers and follow strict principles in forecasts
  • 25. A robust and comparable set of historical data is the starting point for our forecasts; this involves three main activities
  • 26. About the authors and Analysys Mason
  • 27.About the authors
  • 28. About Analysys Mason
  • 29. Research from Analysys Mason
  • 30. Consulting from Analysys Mason

List of figures

  • Figure 1: Telecoms retail revenue by service type and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), emerging Asia-Pacific, 2010-2020
  • Figure 2: CAGRs for fixed and mobile retail revenue (2014-2020) and market size by total retail revenue (2020), by region, worldwide
  • Figure 3: Fixed broadband connections by type, and fixed voice, IPTV and mobile broadband connections, worldwide, 2010-2020
  • Figure 4: Fixed broadband penetration of households by country, worldwide, 2010-2020
  • Figure 5: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, fixed voice and fixed broadband ASPU, emerging Asia-Pacific, 2010-2020
  • Figure 6: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, total service revenue and growth rates, emerging Asia-Pacific, 2014-2020
  • Figure 7: Connections by type, and growth rates, emerging Asia-Pacific, 2014-2020
  • Figure 8: Fixed broadband connections by type, and fixed voice, IPTV and mobile broadband connections, emerging Asia-Pacific, 2010-2020
  • Figure 9: Fixed broadband penetration of households by country, emerging Asia-Pacific, 2010-2020
  • Figure 10: Mobile connections by technology generation and fixed broadband household penetration, by country, emerging Asia-Pacific, 2020
  • Figure 11: Fixed penetration rates by service type, EMAP, 2010-2020
  • Figure 12: Fixed ASPU by service type, EMAP, 2010-2020
  • Figure 13: Summary of key fixed market drivers and assumptions, EMAP
  • Figure 14: Total fixed retail revenue, fixed broadband and IPTV revenue and CAGR, China, 2014-2020
  • Figure 15: Total fixed retail revenue, fixed broadband and IPTV revenue and CAGR, Indonesia, 2014-2020
  • Figure 16: Total fixed retail revenue, fixed broadband and IPTV revenue and CAGR, Malaysia, 2014-2020
  • Figure 17: Total fixed retail revenue, fixed broadband and IPTV revenue and CAGR, Thailand, 2014-2020
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