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市場調查報告書

中東歐的固定通訊服務的趨勢與預測:2016-2021年

Fixed Services in Central and Eastern Europe: Trends and Forecasts 2017-2022

出版商 Analysys Mason 商品編碼 346268
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 23 Slides
商品交期: 最快1-2個工作天內
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中東歐的固定通訊服務的趨勢與預測:2016-2021年 Fixed Services in Central and Eastern Europe: Trends and Forecasts 2017-2022
出版日期: 2017年10月19日 內容資訊: 英文 23 Slides
簡介

中東歐 (CEE) 的固定寬頻業務收益,在光纖網路發展·網路升級推動下,預測今後5年將持續成長。

本報告提供中東歐 (CEE)固定通訊服務市場上各種趨勢相關之調查分析,彙整地區市場的趨勢分析,全球性背景,地區分析及4個國家相關評論,市場專家的預測等資料。

目錄

摘要整理

全球趨勢

  • 全球收益在網路發展的基礎設施投資推動下,將在行動·固定市場區隔擴大
  • 固定服務:DVAP及EMAP的FTTP/B的優勢,預測將使全球光纖滲透率在2021年前提升到全FBB線路的53%
  • 固定寬頻:家庭滲透率在NGA的可用性·富有魅力的綁定套組促進下預測在所有地區都將增加

地區趨勢

  • 收益·ARPU:行動ARPU的減少,預計由於終端資料支出的增加而減速
  • FTTP/B連線數預計將佔固定寬頻連線數的半數以上
  • CEE的家庭普及率在政府投資的支援下,預測將從2015年的47%到2021年擴大到55%
  • 對象地區:CEE預計將被NGA寬頻上網技術支配,4G在2021年前將佔連接整體的半數
  • 寬頻家庭普及率,預計在配套服務及NGA投資的採用擴大下推動成長

預測手法·前提條件

著者·Analysys Mason

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目錄

"Next-generation infrastructure continues to see large investments from operators, supported by government initiatives, and we expect next-generation broadband access to drive increasing fixed broadband revenue."

We estimate that fixed broadband and IPTV revenue will increase by EUR1.7 billion in Central and Eastern Europe by 2022, driven by large-scale next-generation access roll-out. We examine key trends and drivers and provide a comprehensive fixed telecoms market forecast for the region and for 14 individually modelled countries in this report.

THIS REPORT PROVIDES:

  • a 5-year forecast of 110 fixed KPIs for the Central and Eastern European region and for 14 key countries
  • an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of fixed service, and for key countries
  • an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics, which highlights similarities and differences between countries
  • a summary of results, key implications and recommendations for fixed operators.

GEOGRAPHICAL COVERAGE

Countries modelled individuallyDetailed country commentary
  • Bulgaria
  • Croatia
  • Czech Republic
  • Estonia
  • Hungary
  • Latvia
  • Lithuania
  • Poland
  • Romania
  • Russia
  • Slovakia
  • Slovenia
  • Turkey
  • Ukraine
  • Czech Republic
  • Poland
  • Russia
  • Turkey

DATA COVERAGE

Fixed connections
  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up
  • Narrowband voice, VoBB
  • DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other
Fixed revenue
  • Service, retail
  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up, BNS
  • DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other
Fixed voice traffic
  • Outgoing minutes, MoU

ABOUT THE AUTHOR:

Simon Lumb(Research Analyst) is a member of the regional markets research team in London, contributing primarily to the Telecoms Market Matrix, European Core Forecasts, European Country Reports and Global Core Data research programmes. Simon holds a BSc in Physics from Durham University, and during his studies conducted research on the collision of galaxies and helped to develop a GPS tracking system for a start-up company.

Table of Contents

  • 5. Executive summary
  • 6. The recovery in overall telecoms revenue will continue during the next few years, driven by fixed network investments
  • 7. Worldwide trends
  • 8. Worldwide: Fixed service revenue will continue to increase over the forecast period, reaching USD621 billion in 2022
  • 9. Regional trends
  • 10. Broadband and IPTV services will drive fixed revenue growth in the region
  • 11. Fixed services: NGA network deployment and increasing FBB coverage will be the focus of fixed telecoms operators
  • 12. Broadband: Penetration will increase across the region, but pace of progress will vary due to economical and geographical diversity
  • 13. Country-level trends
  • 14. Czech Republic: Competition is driving market decline, but growth will return by 2022
  • 15. Poland: Fixed network investments and a focus on service take-up will drive NGA broadband access revenue
  • 16. Russia: Increasing fibre penetration and the introduction of FMC bundles will soften broadband ARPU decline
  • 17. Turkey: Household FBB penetration will increase to 70% and almost half of households will have NGA access by 2022
  • 18. About the author and Analysys Mason
  • 19. About the author
  • 20. Analysys Mason's consulting and research are uniquely positioned
  • 21. Research from Analysys Mason
  • 22. Consulting from Analysys Mason

List of figures

  • Figure 1: Telecoms and pay-TV retail revenue by service type and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), Central and Eastern Europe, 2012-2022
  • Figure 2: Fixed service revenue in Central and Eastern Europe and worldwide, 2012-2022
  • Figure 3: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, fixed voice and fixed broadband ASPU, Central and Eastern Europe, 2012-2022
  • Figure 4: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, total service revenue and growth rates, Central and Eastern Europe, 2016-2022
  • Figure 5: Connections by type, and growth rates, Central and Eastern Europe, 2016-2022
  • Figure 6: Fixed broadband connections by type, and fixed voice, IPTV and mobile broadband connections, Central and Eastern Europe, 2012-2022
  • Figure 7: Residential fixed broadband penetration of households by country, Central and Eastern Europe, 2012-2022
  • Figure 8: Fixed penetration rates by service type, Czech Republic, 2012-2022
  • Figure 9: Fixed ASPU by service type, Czech Republic, 2012-2022
  • Figure 10: Summary of key fixed market drivers and assumptions, Czech Republic
  • Figure 11: Fixed penetration rates by service type, Poland, 2012-2022
  • Figure 12: Fixed ASPU by service type, Poland, 2012-2022
  • Figure 13: Summary of key fixed market drivers and assumptions, Poland
  • Figure 14: Fixed penetration rates by service type, Russia, 2012-2022
  • Figure 15: Fixed ASPU by service type, Russia, 2012-2022
  • Figure 16: Summary of key fixed market drivers and assumptions, Russia
  • Figure 17: Fixed penetration rates by service type, Turkey, 2012-2022
  • Figure 18: Fixed ASPU by service type, Turkey, 2012-2022
  • Figure 19: Summary of key fixed market drivers and assumptions, Turkey
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