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西歐的固定服務:趨勢·預測 (2016-2021年)

Fixed Services in Western Europe: Trends and Forecasts 2016-2021

出版商 Analysys Mason 商品編碼 345374
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 26 Slides
商品交期: 最快1-2個工作天內
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西歐的固定服務:趨勢·預測 (2016-2021年) Fixed Services in Western Europe: Trends and Forecasts 2016-2021
出版日期: 2017年02月28日 內容資訊: 英文 26 Slides

儘管西歐整體固定收益減少,固定寬頻及網路電視收益預測在2015年到2021年間,仍將以2.5%的年複合成長率 (CAGR) 增長。



  • 固定連線數
    • 語音·固定寬頻·網路電視·撥號
    • 窄頻語音·VoBB
    • DSL·FTTH/B·電纜·BFWA·其他
  • 固定收益
    • 服務·零售
    • 語音·寬頻·網路電視·撥號·BNS
    • DSL·FTTH/B·電纜·BFWA·其他
  • 固定語音流量
    • 撥出分鐘:MoU


  • 奧地利
  • 比利時
  • 丹麥
  • 芬蘭
  • 法國
  • 德國
  • 希臘
  • 愛爾蘭
  • 義大利
  • 荷蘭
  • 挪威
  • 葡萄牙
  • 西班牙
  • 瑞典
  • 瑞士
  • 英國


  • 摘要整理
  • 全球趨勢
    • 全球收益受到網路發展的基礎設施投資推動,在行動·固定市場區隔擴大
    • 固定服務:DVAP及EMAP上FTTP/B的優勢,預測將在2021年前將全球光纖滲透率提升到佔全FBB線路的53%
    • 固定寬頻:家庭滲透率在NGA的可用性·富有魅力的綁定套組推動下,所有地區皆預定增加
  • 地區趨勢
    • 行動·固定寬頻ARPU雖然落幅減低,但在預測期間仍將持下滑
    • 固定服務:VDSL預計將成功成為2019年主要固定寬頻上網技術
    • 固定寬頻:義大利由於網路改善計劃順利,將成為成長最快速的市場
    • 對象地區:西歐16個國家在2015年將佔全球通訊收益的21%
    • 擴大的NGA線路家庭普及率預計將降低寬頻ASPU的低迷
  • 預測手法·前提條件
  • 著者·Analysys Mason




"Despite a decline in overall fixed revenue in Western Europe, fixed broadband and IPTV revenue will grow at a CAGR of 2.5% between 2015 and 2021."

Fixed broadband revenue in Western Europe (WE) is expected to grow steadily, while overall fixed services revenue will decline.

This report and associated data annex provide:

  • commentary and trend analysis to support our 5-year forecast for WE
  • worldwide context, regional analysis and commentary
  • forecasting informed by on-the-ground market experts from our Research and Consulting divisions
  • additional analysis based on Analysys Mason's Telecoms Market Matrix, a comprehensive source of trusted quarterly data that sizes European telecoms markets.


Countries modelled individually in the data:

  • Austria
  • Belgium
  • Denmark
  • Finland
  • France
  • Germany
  • Greece
  • Ireland
  • Italy
  • Netherlands
  • Norway
  • Portugal
  • Spain
  • Sweden
  • Switzerland
  • UK


Fixed connections
  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up
  • Narrowband voice, VoBB
  • DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other
Fixed revenue
  • Service, retail
  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up, BNS
  • DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other
Fixed voice traffic
  • Outgoing minutes, MoU


Lee Giet (Research Analyst) is a member of the regional markets research team in London, contributing mainly to the Telecoms Market Matrix, European Core Forecasts, European Country Reports and Global Telecoms Forecasts research programmes. Lee holds a BSc in Physics from University College London (UCL).

Martin Scott (Principal Analyst) co-ordinates Analysys Mason's research initiatives related to media, TV, fixed broadband and convergence. He manages the Fixed Broadband and Multi-Play research programme and is a significant contributor to the Future Comms and Media programme. Martin has held numerous positions within Analysys Mason during the last 10 years, including heading the company's Consumer Services, Data and Regional Markets practices. He also launched Analysys Mason's Connected Consumer and Consumer smartphone usage series of research. His primary areas of specialisation include service convergence, OTT video and media, consumer smartphone usage, the bundling and pricing of multi-play services.

Table of Contents

  • 5. Executive summary
  • 6. Executive summary
  • 7. Worldwide trends
  • 8. Revenue worldwide will increase in the mobile and fixed segments, driven by infrastructure investments in network roll-out
  • 9. Fixed services: FTTP/B predominance in DVAP and EMAP will boost worldwide fibre penetration to 53% of all FBB lines in 2021
  • 10. Fixed broadband: Household penetration will increase in all regions driven by the availability of NGA and attractive bundles
  • 11. Regional trends
  • 12. The decline in mobile and fixed broadband ARPU slowed in 2015, but will continue throughout the forecast period
  • 13. Fixed services: VDSL will take over as the leading fixed broadband access technology in 2019
  • 14. Fixed broadband: Italy will be the fastest growing market because substantial network improvements are planned
  • 15. Geographical coverage: 16 Western European countries comprised 21% of worldwide telecoms revenue in 2015
  • 16. The increasing household penetration of NGA lines will slow down the decline in broadband ASPU
  • 17. Forecast methodology and assumptions
  • 18. We have a disciplined process of forecasting; our on-the-ground analysts and consultants collaborate closely to assess market dynamics
  • 19. We use a vast variety of primary and secondary research for data collection; we use five key drivers and follow strict principles in forecasts
  • 20. A robust and comparable set of historical data is the starting point for our forecasts; this involves three main activities
  • 21. About the authors and Analysys Mason
  • 22. About the authors
  • 23. About Analysys Mason
  • 24. Research from Analysys Mason
  • 25. Consulting from Analysys Mason

List of figures

  • Figure 1: Telecoms retail revenue by service type and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), Western Europe, 2011-2021
  • Figure 2: Telecoms retail revenue growth by type and country, worldwide, 2015-2021
  • Figure 3: Fixed broadband connections by type, and mobile broadband, fixed voice, VoBBand IPTV connections, worldwide, 2011-2021
  • Figure 4: Fixed broadband penetration of households by region, 2011-2021
  • Figure 5: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, fixed voice and fixed broadband ASPU, and mobile ARPU, Western Europe, 2011-2021
  • Figure 6: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, and growth rates, Western Europe, 2015-2021
  • Figure 7: Connections by type, and growth rates, Western Europe, 2015-2021
  • Figure 8: Fixed broadband connections by type, and fixed voice, pay-TVand mobile broadband connections, Western Europe, 2011-2021
  • Figure 9a: Residential fixed broadband penetration of households by country, Western Europe, 2011-2021
  • Figure 9b: Residential fixed broadband penetration of households by country, Western Europe, 2011-2021
  • Figure 10: Mobile connections by technology generation and NGA share of fixed broadband connections by country, Western Europe, 2021
  • Figure 11: Fixed penetration rates by service type, Western Europe, 2011-2021
  • Figure 12: Fixed ASPU by service type, Western Europe, 2011-2021
  • Figure 13: Summary of key fixed market drivers and assumptions, Western Europe
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