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市場調查報告書

中東·北非的固定寬頻服務:趨勢·預測 2015-2020年

Fixed Broadband Services in the Middle East and North Africa: Trends and Forecasts 2015-2020

出版商 Analysys Mason 商品編碼 345105
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 29 Slides
商品交期: 最快1-2個工作天內
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中東·北非的固定寬頻服務:趨勢·預測 2015-2020年 Fixed Broadband Services in the Middle East and North Africa: Trends and Forecasts 2015-2020
出版日期: 2015年11月13日 內容資訊: 英文 29 Slides
簡介

MENA (中東·北非) 地區的固定通訊市場雖然各處於不同成熟度的階段,但收益在預測期間都將以地區水準成長。新一代連接 (NGA) 網路的投資,4G的廣泛服務範圍,及實現業者整合型綁定套組 (匯聚綁定套組) 的收購,相信都將促進2020年前的固網市場。

本報告提供中東·北非的固定寬頻服務市場相關資料檢驗,全球,地區以及各國的市場趨勢分析。

目錄

摘要整理

全球趨勢

  • 到2020年為止的MENA的零售收益成長率,預計將超過EMAP,歐洲,及北美
  • FTTH/B連線數增加到4億2,500萬件,佔整體固定寬頻連線數的44%
  • 家庭普及率由於平均國民GDP的上升及網路發展,從39%上升到48%

地區趨勢

  • MENA:固定零售收益佔全球固定零售市場4%,及MENA的零售收益整體31%
  • MENA:光纖引進預計將大大推動寬頻連線數,但DSL預計維持最大佔有率
  • MENA:家庭普及率由於市場競爭的促進及國家寬頻計劃的支援下將上升
  • MENA:佔MENA的通訊業務收益68%的11通訊市場將成為模式
  • MENA:GCC各國的發展預計將促進寬頻·網路電視收益,並以4.9%的年複合成長率成長到113億美元

國家層級趨勢

  • 阿曼:消費者需求及政府支援的發展計劃促進FTTH的普及
  • 卡達:從DSL到纖型的連網這迅速的技術轉換促進服務普及
  • 沙烏地阿拉伯:業者的發展計劃促進普及,商務市場區隔減輕ASPU的低落
  • UAE:人口·經濟發展促進固定高速寬頻服務的需求

預測手法·前提條件

關於著者·ANALYSYS MASON

圖表清單

目錄

"The MENA region's fixed telecoms markets are at different stages of maturity, but revenue will increase at the regional level during the forecast period."

Investments in next-generation access (NGA) networks, wide coverage of 4G and mergers and acquisitions that enable operators to invest in converged bundles will all stimulate the fixed market through to 2020. The take-up of such bundles will reduce customer churn, increase the number of connections and may also increase ARPU from high-end users if offers include faster and better-quality services based on FTTH/B or VDSL technology, enabling additional value-added services such as pay TV.

This report provides:

  • commentary and trend analysis to support our 5-year forecast for the Middle East and North Africa (MENA)
  • worldwide context, regional analysis and commentary on four countries: Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE).

Geographical coverage

Countries modelled individuallyDetailed country commentary

  • Algeria
  • Egypt
  • Iraq
  • Israel
  • Kuwait
  • Morocco
  • Oman
  • Qatar
  • Tunisia
  • United Arab Emirates

  • Oman
  • Qatar
  • Saudi Arabia
  • United Arab Emirates

Data coverage

Fixed connections
  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up
  • Narrowband voice, VoBB
  • DSL, FTTH/B, cable, BFWA, other

Fixed revenue
  • Service, retail
  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up, BNS
  • DSL, FTTH/B, cable, BFWA, other

Fixed voice traffic
  • Outgoing minutes, MoU

Table of Contents

  • 5.Executive summary
  • 6.Executive summary
  • 7.Worldwide trends
  • 8.Worldwide: MENA's fixed retail revenue growth to 2020 will outpace that in EMAP, Europe and North America
  • 9.Worldwide: FTTH/B connections will increase to 425 million, accounting for 44% of total fixed broadband connections
  • 10.Worldwide: Household penetration will increase from 39% to 48% because of GDP per capita growth and network roll-out
  • 11.Regional trends
  • 12.MENA: Fixed retail revenue accounts for 4% of the fixed retail market worldwide and 31% of MENA's total retail revenue
  • 13.MENA: Broadband connections will significantly increase, driven by fibre adoption, but DSL will retain the largest share
  • 14.MENA: Household penetration will grow, driven by market competition and supported by national broadband plans
  • 15.MENA: We model eleven telecoms markets, which will account for about 68% of MENA's telecoms service revenue in 2020
  • 16.MENA: Broadband and IPTV revenue will grow at a CAGR of 4.9% to USD11.3 billion, driven by roll-outs in GCC countries
  • 17.Country-level trends
  • 18.Oman: Consumer demand and government-backed roll-out plans will boost FTTH take-up
  • 19.Qatar: Fast technological transformation from DSL to fibre-based access will drive service take-up
  • 20.Saudi Arabia: Operators' roll-out plans will drive take-up, and the business segment will help reduce ASPU erosion
  • 21.UAE: Population and economy growth will drive demand for fixed high-speed broadband services
  • 22.Forecast methodology and assumptions
  • 23.We have a disciplined process of forecasting; our on-the-ground analysts and consultants collaborate closely to assess market dynamics
  • 24.Our forecasts are informed by primary and secondary research for data collection, a rigorous methodology and our analysis of external drivers
  • 25.A robust and comparable set of historical data is the starting point for our forecasts; this involves three main activities
  • 26.About the authors and Analysys Mason
  • 27.About the authors
  • 28.About Analysys Mason

List of figures

  • Figure 1: Figure 1: Telecoms retail revenue by service type and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), Middle East and North Africa, 2010-2020
  • Figure 2: CAGRs for fixed and mobile retail revenue (2014-2020) and market size by total retail revenue (2020), by region, worldwide
  • Figure 3: Fixed broadband connections by type, and fixed voice, IPTV and mobile broadband connections, worldwide, 2010-2020
  • Figure 4: Fixed broadband penetration of households by country, worldwide, 2010-2020
  • Figure 5: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, fixed voice and fixed broadband ASPU, Middle East and North Africa, 2010-2020
  • Figure 6: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, total service revenue and growth rates, Middle East and North Africa, 2014-2020
  • Figure 7: Connections by type, and growth rates, Middle East and North Africa, 2014-2020
  • Figure 8: Fixed broadband connections by type, and fixed voice, IPTV and mobile broadband connections, Middle East and North Africa, 2010-2020
  • Figure 9: Fixed broadband penetration of households by country, Middle East and North Africa, 2010-2020
  • Figure 10: Mobile connections by technology generation and fixed broadband household penetration, by country, Middle East and North Africa, 2020
  • Figure 11: Fixed penetration rates by service type, Middle East and North Africa, 2010-2020
  • Figure 12: Fixed ASPU by service type, Middle East and North Africa, 2010-2020
  • Figure 13: Summary of key fixed market drivers and assumptions, MENA
  • Figure 14: Fixed revenue by service type and growth rates, Oman, 2014-2020
  • Figure 15: Fixed revenue by service type and growth rates, Qatar, 2014-2020
  • Figure 16: Fixed revenue by service type and growth rates, Saudi Arabia, 2014-2020
  • Figure 17: Fixed revenue by service type and growth rates, UAE, 2014-2020
  • Figure 18: Data, research principles and external factors that inform our forecasting methodology
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