Cover Image
市場調查報告書

NEP網路管理系統:全球預測

NEPs Network Management Systems: Worldwide Forecast 2014-2018

出版商 Analysys Mason 商品編碼 310598
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 PPT and PDF (56 slides)
商品交期: 最快1-2個工作天內
價格
Back to Top
NEP網路管理系統:全球預測 NEPs Network Management Systems: Worldwide Forecast 2014-2018
出版日期: 2014年08月15日 內容資訊: 英文 PPT and PDF (56 slides)
簡介

全球網路管理系統(NMS)市場上收益從2012年減少4%中復甦,到2013年成長了2%達到46億美金,預測之後將以3.9%的CAGR擴大,到2018年達到56億美金的規模。

本報告提供全球網路管理系統(NMS)市場相關研究,提供4個通訊服務(行動,商務,住宅用寬頻,PSTN)及4個地區別分析·預測,彙整市場上主要趨勢與影響因素的摘要,闡明市場成長的促進要素·阻礙要素,給通訊服務供應商(CSP)·網路設備供應商(NEP)的建議,新技術·機會的影響分析,並提供NMS市場成長的CSP的商業環境等分析。

摘要整理

建議

  • CSP(通訊服務供應商)
  • NEP(網路設備供應商)

預測

  • HetNets (LTE 及引進小型基地台)是促進行動NMS市場上持續成長的主要要素
  • 由於西歐許多CSP正針對LTE進行網路近代化,EMEA(歐洲·中東·非洲)回復成長同時,先進APAC的投資減少
  • 由於CSP活用現有的豐富容量,商務服務NMS預測到2015年將緩慢成長
  • APAC(亞太地區)由於LTE回程傳輸的升級及資料中心連接性,寫下商務服務支出的成長
  • 視訊,新的數位服務,Wi-Fi及微型基地台對住宅用寬頻NMS而言是主要的推動市場要素,NBN投資正在減少
  • 光NGA投資促進新興·成熟市場上住宅用寬頻NMS的整體成長
  • PSTN NMS維修支出,為了更進一步削減支出,CSP幾乎都在公同內部進行維修
  • LATAM(南美)持續是最慢減少PSTN NMS支出的地區

市場成長的促進要素·阻礙要素

商業環境

  • 商業環境
  • 商業環境:各地區
  • 全球約5分之一行動連線數到2018年前將會成為LTE網路,但對NMS的影響比基礎設施小
  • 預測美國在預測期間LTE連線數將為最大,但中國將在2018年前趕上
  • 競爭確實日益激烈,所有地區都在推動減少行動ARPU - 歐洲的下滑最受影響
  • 全球固定資料流量2014-2019年間將增加3.6倍;容量則由100G及海底電纜的升級所產生
  • FTTH/B的成長比電纜強力,有助於網路電視的引進 - 特別是DVAP(先進亞太地區)
  • 住宅用寬頻的投資在已發展市場中幾乎皆已完成光纖的引進,2015年以後將減速
  • 固定寬頻業務收益在歐洲展現出強力的成長,DVAP與美國服務範圍已經相當寬廣

市場定義

  • 通訊軟體市場區分
  • 基礎設施解決方案分類
  • NMS概要
  • NMS的市場區隔,細分區隔及收益類型定義
  • 主要的商務促進要素與市場特徵及這些因素將如何影響各營運·軟體策略
  • 全面的預測模式

關於著者·Analysys Mason

圖表清單

目錄

New mobile and fixed technology roll-outs will be the main growth drivers, but automation and self-organised network (SON) features will enhance the value of NMS as a rich source of data and main control point, for the optimised operation of the network.

The worldwide network management systems (NMS) market is forecast to grow from USD4.6 billion in revenue in 2013 to USD5.6 billion in 2018, at a 3.9% CAGR, starting to recover from the 4% decline in 2012 and 2% growth in 2013. The NMS market is linked to equipment sales, and we expect LTE, small-cell and FTTx roll-outs to drive growth during the forecast period.


This report provides:

  • a detailed worldwide forecast for spending on NMS, split into:
    • four telecoms services:
      • mobile
      • business
      • residential broadband
      • PSTN
    • four geographical regions
  • a summary of the key trends and factors impacting the NMS market between 2013 and 2018
  • an examination of the key market drivers and inhibitors for the NMS market during the next 5 years
  • recommendations for communications service providers (CSPs) and network equipment providers (NEPs)
  • insight into the impact of emerging technologies and opportunities - such as LTE, SON, network function virtualisation (NFV), software-defined networking (SDN), customer experience management (CEM), M2M and new digital economy services - on the NMS market
  • an examination of the CSPs' business environment that drives NMS market growth.

This report is a companion to the previously published NEPs' network management systems: worldwide market shares 2013, which details the business conditions in this market, as well as the market shares, offerings and strategies of the major NEPs.

GEOGRAPHICAL COVERAGE

Forecasts are split into the following four regions:

  • Asia-Pacific (APAC)
  • Europe, the Middle East and Africa (EMEA)
  • Latin America (LATAM)
  • North America (NA)

About the authors

Shanthi Ravindran (Senior Analyst) is a member of Analysys Mason's Telecoms Software research team, focusing on OSS, BSS and SDP for Asia-Pacific customers. Shanthi has more than 20 years of experience at Tier 1 infrastructure vendors, working on design, deployment and operations of wireless and broadband networks for operators across the Asia-Pacific region, starting with the first GSM and CDMA networks in Malaysia and Singapore, and continuing on through to 3G and 4G networks. She is an expert in designing optimised, end-to-end network solutions and has a strong understanding of the applicable telecoms and network evolution standards. Shanthi also has extensive experience in working with many independent software vendors for sourcing and building complete solutions. She joined Analysys Mason in 2013 and holds a BSc in Electrical Engineering from University of Kerala (India).

Glen Ragoonanan (Principal Analyst) is the lead analyst for Analysys Mason's Infrastructure Solutions, Service Delivery Platforms and Software-Controlled Networking research programmes. He joined Analysys Mason in 2008 and has worked as a consultant on projects on next-generation IT and telecoms networks, systems and technologies for incumbents, new entrants, private companies, regulators and public-sector clients. His primary areas of specialisation include operations and business support systems (OSS/BSS) solution architecture and integration for business process re-engineering, business process optimisation, business continuity planning, procurement and outsourcing operations and strategies. Glen is a Chartered Engineer and project management professional with an MSc from Coventry University.

Gorkem Yigit (Research Analyst) is part of the Telecoms Software research team, contributing to the Service Assurance, Infrastructure Solutions, Service Delivery Platforms and Customer Experience Management programmes. He started his career in the telecoms industry with a graduate role at a leading telecoms operator, before joining Analysys Mason in late 2013. He has also written an academic paper about market acceptance of cloud enterprise resource planning (ERP) software and he earned a cum laude MSc degree in Economics and Management of Innovation and Technology from Bocconi University (Milan, Italy).

Table of Contents

  • 5. Executive summary
  • 6. Worldwide NMS forecast, 2014-2018: LTE in emerging markets will inject growth, but only moderate growth is predicted for this mature market
  • 7. Fixed and mobile broadband technologies and services will drive market growth in mobile, business services and residential broadband NMS
  • 8. Large LTE roll-outs in emerging markets will drive long-term growth for APAC, while expansions will drive lower growth in developed markets
  • 9. Recommendations
  • 10. NMS need to enable operational flexibility and data access, to maintain value in multi-vendor environments with new services requirements
  • 11. Recommendations for CSPs
  • 12. Recommendations for NEPs
  • 13. Forecast
  • 14. HetNets (LTE and small cell deployments) will be the main driver for continued growth in the mobile NMS market
  • 15. Growth will return to EMEA as more CSPs in Western Europe modernise networks for LTE, while investment in developed APAC will decline
  • 16. Business services NMS growth will be slow until 2015, as CSPs make use of their abundant existing capacity
  • 17. APAC will register growth in business services spending for LTE backhaul upgrades and data centre connectivity
  • 18. Video, new digital services, Wi-Fi and femtocells will be the key market drivers for residential broadband NMS, while NBN investments decline
  • 19. Optical NGA investments continue to drive the overall growth in residential broadband NMS in emerging and mature markets
  • 20. PSTN NMS maintenance spend is plateauing because CSPs are doing most of the maintenance in-house to reduce spending even further
  • 21. LATAM will continue to have the slowest decline in PSTN NMS spending
  • 22. Market drivers and inhibitors
  • 23. Market drivers and inhibitors
  • 24. NMS market drivers [1]
  • 25. NMS market drivers [2]
  • 26. NMS market drivers [3]
  • 27. NMS market drivers [4]
  • 28. NMS market inhibitors [1]
  • 29. NMS market inhibitors [2]
  • 30. NMS market inhibitors [3]
  • 31. Business environment
  • 32. The business environment in 2013
  • 33. The business environment by region in 2013
  • 34. Nearly one fifth of mobile connections worldwide will be on LTE networks by 2018, but impact on NMS will be smaller than on infrastructure
  • 35. The USA will have the largest number of LTE connections during the forecast period, but China will almost catch up by 2018
  • 36. Competition looks set to intensify and drive down mobile ARPU in all regions - declines in Europe will have the greatest impact
  • 37. Fixed data traffic worldwide will increase by a factor of 3.6 between 2014 and 2019; capacity is built by 100G and submarine cable upgrades
  • 38. FTTH/B growth will be stronger than cable and will help to drive IPTV adoption - particularly in DVAP
  • 39. Investment in residential broadband will slow down after 2015, when fibre deployments will be largely complete in developed markets
  • 40. Fixed broadband service revenue shows strong growth in Europe, and coverage is already high in DVAP and the USA
  • 41. Market definition
  • 42. Telecoms software market segmentation
  • 43. Infrastructure solution categories
  • 44. NMS overview
  • 45. NMS segment, sub-segment and revenue type definitions
  • 46. Definition of geographical regions [1]
  • 47. Definition of geographical regions [2]
  • 48. Definition of geographical regions [3]
  • 49. Key business drivers and market characteristics and how they map to different operational and software strategies
  • 50. Our comprehensive forecast model is supported by a sound knowledge of markets
  • 51. About the authors and Analysys Mason
  • 52. About the authors
  • 53. About Analysys Mason
  • 54. Research from Analysys Mason
  • 55. Consulting from Analysys Mason

List of figures

  • Figure 1: NMS revenue, worldwide, 2013-2018
  • Figure 2: NMS revenue by telecoms service, worldwide, 2013-2018
  • Figure 3: NMS revenue by region, worldwide, 2013-2018
  • Figure 4: CSP business objectives, technologies and services
  • Figure 5: Mobile NMS revenue, worldwide, 2013-2018
  • Figure 6: Mobile NMS revenue, worldwide, 2013-2018
  • Figure 7: Business services NMS revenue, worldwide, 2013-2018
  • Figure 8: Business services NMS revenue by region, worldwide, 2013-2018
  • Figure 9: Residential broadband NMS revenue, worldwide, 2013-2018
  • Figure 10: Residential broadband NMS revenue by region, worldwide, 2013-2018
  • Figure 11: PSTN NMS revenue, worldwide, 2013-2018
  • Figure 12: PSTN NMS revenue by region, worldwide, 2013-2018
  • Figure 13a-d: Network management systems market drivers
  • Figure 14a-c: Network management systems market inhibitors
  • Figure 15: Mobile connections by technology generation, and LTE's share, worldwide, 2010-2018
  • Figure 16: LTE connections by country, 2012
  • Figure 17: LTE connections by country, 2018
  • Figure 18: Mobile ARPU by region, worldwide, 2009-2018
  • Figure 19: Total fixed IP data traffic in access network, worldwide, 2012-2019
  • Figure 20: Fixed broadband connections by type, and fixed voice, IPTV and mobile broadband connections, worldwide, 2009-2018
  • Figure 21: FTTx capex by region, to 2019
  • Figure 22: FTTx capex by region, 2014-2019
  • Figure 23: Change in fixed broadband and mobile service revenue by region, worldwide, 2012-2013
  • Figure 24: CAGR of fixed broadband and mobile service revenue by region, worldwide, 2013-2019
  • Figure 25: Telecoms software market segments
  • Figure 26: Infrastructure solution categories
  • Figure 27: Interfaces supported by NMS
  • Figure 28: Definitions of NMS and its sub-segments
  • Figure 29: NMS revenue type definitions
  • Figure 30: Regional breakdown used in this report
  • Figure 31a-b: Regional breakdown used in this report
  • Figure 32: Mapping of key business drivers and market characteristics according to business environment, and operational and software strategies
  • Figure 33: Key factors influencing forecast assumptions
Back to Top