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市場調查報告書

砂糖、乙醇市場:到2025年的預測

FO Licht Report - Sugar and Ethanol Markets Outlook

出版商 F.O. Licht 商品編碼 340864
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 267 Pages
商品交期: 最快1-2個工作天內
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砂糖、乙醇市場:到2025年的預測 FO Licht Report - Sugar and Ethanol Markets Outlook
出版日期: 2015年08月01日 內容資訊: 英文 267 Pages
簡介

本報告提供全球砂糖、乙醇市場相關調查分析,以EU、俄羅斯、巴西、美國、加拿大、墨西哥、亞洲、南美、非洲、澳洲為對象,提供市場預測、企業策略、發展前景等系統性資訊。

目錄

  • 1. 全球砂糖、乙醇市場
  • 2. 砂糖、乙醇的全球貿易
  • 3. 砂糖、乙醇的企業策略
  • 4. 纖維素乙醇、其他先進型生質燃料預測
  • 5. 全球飲料、工業用乙醇市場
  • 6. 砂糖、乙醇市場預測

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目錄
Product Code: 80919

This comprehensive report provides a detailed outlook for the world sugar and ethanol markets from now to 2025, with copious statistics and charts throughout, including fuel ethanol standards.

Countries and territories fully covered include the EU, Russia, Brazil, the US, Canada, Mexico, Asia, Latin America, Africa, and Australia.

The report goes on to describe in rich detail the varied corporate strategies adopted for sugar and ethanol. This is followed by an overview of the prospects and challenges ahead for the development and commercialisation of cellulosic ethanol and other advanced biofuels in the US, Europe, Brazil, and China. Also fully surveyed are the key global beverage and industrial ethanol markets.

Table of Contents

Executive Summary . 11

1. World sugar and ethanol markets 13

1.1 The European Union 13

1.1.1 Sugar . 13

1.1.1.1 High tariff walls to remain in place 15

1.1.1.2 Isoglucose 15

1.1.1.3 What will be the consequences of quota abolition? 16

1.1.1.4 Private storage aid to become more important 17

1.1.1.5 Will the EU re-emerge as a major exporter? 18

1.1.1.6 The rationale for sugar exports 19

1.1.1.7 Summary 20

1.1.2 Ethanol 21

1.1.2.1 The "Promotional" Directive 2003/30/EC . 22

1.1.2.2 The Directive on the Taxation of Energy Products (Directive 2003/96/EC) 23

1.1.2.3 The New Fuel Quality Directive and the E-10 issue 24

1.1.2.4 The Renewable Energy Directive - the Targets for 2020 25

1.1.2.5 The Renewable Energy Directive - GHG reduction targets, sustainability

certificates, ILUC and the double counting provision . 26

1.1.2.6 The reform of the RED 30

1.1.3 Ethanol in EU member states . 34

1.1.3.1 Austria 34

1.1.3.2 Belgium 34

1.1.3.3 Czech Republic 34

1.1.3.4 Denmark 35

1.1.3.5 Finland 35

1.1.3.6 France . 35

1.1.3.7 Germany. 37

1.1.3.8 Hungary 39

1.1.3.9 Ireland . 39

1.1.3.10 Italy 40

1.1.3.11 The Netherlands . 40

1.1.3.12 Poland . 41

1.1.3.13 Spain 41

1.1.3.14 Sweden 42

1.1.3.15 United Kingdom 43

1.2 Russia's sugar market . 44

1.2.1 Rising self-sufficiency - from political declaration to reality 44

1.2.2 Stable import regime to continue . 46

1.2.3 Refining becomes residual business . 48

1.2.4 Industry consolidation - who is who in Russia's sugar market 48

1.2.5 Sugar production prospects 51

1.2.6 Do high prices dampen consumption? 52

1.2.7 Future prospects for sugar imports . 53

1.3 Sugar and Ethanol in Brazil 54

1.3.1 Industry needs to invest 55

1.3.2 Cost competitiveness at risk . 56

1.3.3 Rising production cost in the agricultural segment 57

1.3.4 The sales side: negative margins for sugar and ethanol . 58

1.3.5 Industry structure changing rapidly . 59

1.3.6 Government and industry give signs of rapprochement 60

1.3.7 Outlook 61

1.4 The United States 62

1.4.1 Sugar . 62

1.4.1.1 Restructuring 64

1.4.1.2 Sugar policy 64

1.4.1.3 "No cost" sugar policy 70

1.4.1.4 Domestic consumption 71

1.4.1.5 NAFTA. 72

1.4.1.6 Free trade in sweeteners 2008-2015 73

1.4.1.7 Conclusion 74

1.4.2 Ethanol . 75

1.4.2.1 The Energy Policy Act and the Renewable Fuels Standard 76

1.4.2.2 The Renewable Fuels Standard Mark II: The Energy Independence and

Security Act 77

1.4.2.3 Sugar to ethanol 78

1.4.2.4 The RFS mandates and the Blend Wall issue. 79

1.4.2.5 California's LCFS 80

1.4.2.6 Sustainability issues in the RFS and the LCFS 82

1.4.2.7 Current situation and the 2014-16 RFS 83

1.5 Canada's ethanol market 88

1.6 Mexico's sugar market 89

1.6.1 The industry

1.6.2 PRONAC 2014-2018 90

1.6.3 Sugar vs. HFCS 92

1.6.4 Sugar exports to US vs. ethanol production 93

1.7 Sugar and ethanol in Asia 94

1.7.1 China . 94

1.7.1.1 Sugar . 94

1.7.1.2 Sugar outlook 95

1.7.1.3 Starch sweeteners 96

1.7.1.4 Ethanol 97

1.7.2 India . 98

1.7.2.1 Sugar . 98

1.7.2.2 Ethanol 100

1.7.3 Indonesia's sugar market . 103

1.7.4 Pakistan 104

1.7.4.1 Sugar 104

1.7.4.2 Ethanol 105

1.7.5 Thailand . 106

1.7.5.1 Sugar 106

1.7.5.2 Ethanol 108

1.7.6 The Philippines 110

1.7.6.1 Sugar 110

1.7.6.2 Ethanol 111

1.7.7 Vietnam's ethanol market 112

1.8 Sugar and ethanol in Latin America 112

1.8.1 Argentina's ethanol market 112

1.8.2 Colombia 113

1.8.2.1 Sugar . 113

1.8.2.2 Ethanol 113

1.8.3 Guatemala . 114

1.8.4 Paraguay's ethanol market . 115

1.8.5 Peru's ethanol market

1.8.6 Other Latin America . 116

1.9 Sugar and ethanol in Africa and the Indian Ocean

1.9.1 Sugar refining 119

1.9.2 Sugar milling . 122

1.9.3 Outlook for sugar . 124

1.9.4 Africa's ethanol sector

1.10 Sugar and ethanol in Australia

1.10.1 Sugar

1.10.2 Ethanol . 129

2. Global trade in sugar and ethanol

2.1 World sugar trade . 131

2.1.1 Key characteristics of the international sugar market 132

2.1.2 Global sugar trade 132

2.1.3 Preferential trade agreements . 133

2.1.3.1 Preferential EU imports 134

2.1.3.2 Preferential US imports . 135

2.1.4 China emerges as top raw sugar importer 136

2.1.5 Global trade in refined sugar . 136

2.1.6 The role of quality in sugar trade . 138

2.2 World ethanol trade 138

2.2.1 Historic volumes and direction of trade flows . 139

2.2.2 The EU . 140

2.2.3 The US and Brazil

2.2.4 Japan and South Korea 144

3. Corporate strategies in sugar and ethanol 147

3.1 Corporate strategies in sugar . 147

3.1.1 Beet sugar companies gain momentum . 147

3.1.2 EU firms prepare for more lean years . 149

3.1.3 Cane sugar companies held back by poor weather, not by strategy . 151

3.1.4 Outlook

3.2 Corporate strategies in ethanol

3.2.1 Industry consolidation slows down

3.2.2 After the 2014 bonanza 2015 will be more difficult for US distillers . 155

3.2.3 Outlook for cane ethanol producers improves . 157

3.2.4 Outlook

4. An outlook on cellulosic ethanol and other advanced biofuels 160

4.1 The US market 160

4.2 High uncertainty for biofuels investment in Europe . 163

4.3 Cellulosic ethanol - a way out of the crisis for Brazil's sugar sector? 163

4.4 A short comment on China 164

4.5 Growth on the cards . 165

5. Global beverage and industrial ethanol markets . 166

5.1 Industrial ethanol . 166

5.2 Beverage alcohol

6. Outlook for sugar and ethanol markets to 2025 170

6.1 The global sugar market outlook until 2025/26 . 170

6.1.1 Europe

6.1.2 Africa . 171

6.1.3 North and Central America . 171

6.1.4 South America .. . 172

6.1.5 Asia and Oceania . 172

6.1.6 Conclusion 173

6.2 The global ethanol outlook until 2025

6.2.1 The United States 176

6.2.2 The European Union 177

6.2.3 Brazil . 177

6.2.4 Asia

6.2.5 Conclusion

7. Statistical Annex 182

7.1 World sugar trade

7.2 World ethanol trade . 233

7.3 Fuel ethanol standards worldwide

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