美國生物燃料市場分析

Abstract

Surging oil prices have shifted the world attention towards biofuel development, says "US Biofuel Market Analysis", a new research report by RNCOS on the biofuel market of the US, ranked as the largest producer of ethanol (Biofuel) in 2006, capturing a market share of around 36% in the global production.

This report also highlights the market performance (both ethanol & biodiesel) and key success areas of biofuel industry.

The US is the largest oil importing country and recent rise in oil prices at global level has driven the country to look seriously for the development of biofuel industry. Apart from oil security, the government' s strong stand for enhancing the use of renewable energy has been a motivating factor in the country. However, the rising concern for the biofuel feedstock prices has opened a smooth growth path for the cellulosic ethanol in the US. In terms of production, biodiesel need more attention in the country.

Key Findings

• The US biofuel industry especially ethanol production is expected to lead the global production during the forecasted period of 2008-2017.
• Corn is anticipated to dominate the future ethanol production in the US, however, cellulosic ethanol requirements are expected to boom during the period 2008-2017.
• US biodiesel sector need strong support from the government as well as from technology point of view to sustain growth in future.
• Biodiesel prices in the US are expected to see a declining trend to push up commercial usage during 2008-2015.
• Supply of raw material (corn and soybean oil) will be a major concern for the US biofuel industry in coming years.

Key Issues & Facts Analyzed

• Past performance of biofuel industry in the US.
• Discussion of new developments in ethanol production technology like cellulosic ethanol with its future growth prospects.
• Various government support programs that are supporting biofuel growth.
• Future trend of biofuels in the US.
• Overview on other ethanol uses, like industrial use.

Key Players

This section provides the overview, and key financials of Biofuel (Ethanol) Industry players like Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM), VeraSun Energy Corporation, Hawkeye Holdings LLC, Aventine Renewable Energy, Inc.

Research Methodology used

Information Sources

Information has been sourced from books, newspapers, trade journals, and white papers, industry portals, government agencies, trade associations, industry news and developments and through access to more than 3000 paid databases.

Analysis Methods

The analysis method includes ratio analysis, historical trend analysis, linear regression analysis using software tools, judgmental forecasting, and cause and effect analysis.

Table of Contents

1. Analyst View

2. Biofuel - An Introduction

• 2.1 What is Biofuel?
• 2.2 Types of Biofuel
  • 2.2.1 Ethanol
  • 2.2.2 Biodiesel
• 2.3 How Biofuel Helps in Energy Crisis?
• 2.4 Industry Structure

3. Global Biofuel Industry

• 3.1 Biofuel Production
  • 3.1.1 Ethanol
  • 3.1.2 Biodiesel
• 3.2 Future Outlook
  • 3.2.1 Biofuel Market - 2017
  • 3.2.2 Ethanol Production (2008-2017)
  • 3.2.3 Biodiesel Production (2008-2017)

4. United States Biofuel Industry

• 4.1 Ethanol Industry - Current Performance & Future Projection
  • 4.1.1 Production Capacity & Expansion
  • 4.1.2 Production
  • 4.1.3 Domestic Demand
  • 4.1.4 Import
  • 4.1.5 Feedstock
  • 4.1.6 Production Cost Analysis
  • 4.1.7 Government Support
  • 4.1.8 Technology Used
  • 4.1.9 Industry Projection
  • 4.1.10 Major Companies
• 4.2 Biodiesel Industry - Current Performance & Future Projection
  • 4.2.1 Production Capacity
  • 4.2.2 Production
  • 4.2.3 Domestic Demand
  • 4.2.4 Government Support
  • 4.2.5 Feedstock
  • 4.2.6 Industry Projection

5. Industry Analysis

• 5.1 Opportunities
  • 5.1.1 Cellulosic Ethanol
    • 5.1.1.1 Cellulosic Ethanol Production Process
    • 5.1.1.2 Cellulosic Ethanol Production
    • 5.1.1.3 Cellulosic Biofuel Demand
  • 5.1.2 Alternative Uses of Ethanol
    • 5.1.2.1 Personal Care Products
    • 5.1.2.2 Pharmaceuticals
  • 5.1.3 Ethanol Usage in Automobiles
  • 5.1.4 Biodiesel - Economic Contribution
• 5.2 Challenges
  • 5.2.1 Raw Material
  • 5.2.2 Biofuel Distribution Infrastructure
  • 5.2.3 US Commodity Market
  • 5.2.4 Crop Cultivation

6. Key Players

• 6.1 Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM)
• 6.2 VeraSun Energy Corporation
• 6.3 Hawkeye Holdings LLC
• 6.4 Aventine Renewable Energy, Inc.

List of Figures:

• Figure 3-1: Global - Biofuel Market (in Billion US$), 2005-2007
• Figure 3-2: Global - Ethanol Production (in Million Gallon), 2004-2006
• Figure 3-3: Global - Ethanol Production by Region (%), 2006
• Figure 3-4: Global - Biodiesel Production (in Million Gallon), 2000-2006
• Figure 3-5: Global - Biofuel Market (in Billion US$), 2007 & 2017F
• Figure 3-6: Global - Forecast for Ethanol Production (in Million Gallon), 2008-2017
• Figure 3-7: Global - Forecast for Biodiesel Production (in Million Gallon), 2008-2017
• Figure 4-1: US - Forecast for Renewable Energy Use (in Billion Gallon), 2008-2022
• Figure 4-2: US - Share of Production & Import of Oil (%), 2006
• Figure 4-3: Global - Crude Oil Prices (in US$/Barrel), 2002-2007
• Figure 4-4: US - CO2 Emission w.r.t Other Countries (%), 2006
• Figure 4-5: US - Ethanol Plants with Production Capacities (Jan 2001 to Jan 2008)
• Figure 4-6: US - Ethanol Production (in Million Gallon), 2001-2007
• Figure 4-7: US - Ethanol Demand (in Million Gallon), 2002-2007
• Figure 4-8: US - Ethanol Import (in Million Gallon), 2002-2007E
• Figure 4-9: US - Ethanol Import by Country (%), 2007E
• Figure 4-10: US - Corn & Sorghum Production (in Billion Bushels & in Million Bushels), 2001-2006
• Figure 4-11: US - Forecast for Ethanol Production (in Billion Gallon), 2008-09 to 2017-18
• Figure 4-12: US - Forecast for Ethanol Production from Corn (in Million Gallon), 2008-09 to 2017-18
• Figure 4-13: US - Forecast for Retail Ethanol Prices (in US$/Gallon), 2008-09 to 2017-18
• Figure 4-14: US - Biodiesel Production (in Million Gallon), 2001-2007E
• Figure 4-15: US - Biodiesel Demand (in Million Gallon), 2001-2007E
• Figure 4-16: US - Soybean Production (in Million Bushels), 2003-2006
• Figure 4-17: US - Forecast for Biodiesel Production (in Million Gallon), 2008-09 to 2017-18
• Figure 4-18: US - Forecast for Biodiesel Production from Soybean Oil (in Million Gallon), 2008-09 to 2017-18
• Figure 4-19: US - Forecast for Biodiesel Retail Prices (in US$/Gallon), 2008-2016
• Figure 5-1: US - Forecast for Cellulosic Ethanol Production (in Million Gallon), 2008-09 to 2017-18
• Figure 5-2: US - Forecast for Cellulosic Biofuel Demand* (in Million Gallon), 2015 & 2022
• Figure 5-3: US - Forecast for Personal Care Products Market (in Billion US$), 2008-2012
• Figure 5-4: US - Forecast for Pharmaceutical Market (in Billion US$), 2008-2011
• Figure 5-5: US - Share of Ethanol & Gasoline as Fuel (%), 2006
• Figure 5-6: US - Consumption Trends for Soybean Oil & Corn Supply (2008-09 to 2016-17)

List of Tables:

• Table 3-1: Global - Top 10 Countries by Ethanol Production (in Million Gallon), 2006
• Table 4-1: US - Capacity of Existing & Under-construction Ethanol Plants by State (in Million Gallon/Year), Jan 2008
• Table 4-2: US - Ethanol Production Cost Analysis based on Feedstock (in US$/Gallon), 2003 to 2005#
• Table 4-3: US - Ethanol Production Capacity by Company (in Million Gallon/Year), Apr 2008
• Table 4-4: US - Biodiesel Active Plants, Production Capacity* & Capacity Utilization Statistics (2001-2006)
• Table 4-5: US - Top 10 Companies by Biodiesel Production Capacity (in Gallon), Jan 2008
• Table 5-1: Cellulosic Ethanol Feedstock & their Advantages & Disadvantages
• Table 5-2: US - Projected Economic Contribution of Biodiesel Industry (2006-2015)
• Table 6-1: Archer-Daniels-Midland Company - Key Financials (in Million US$), 2005-2007
• Table 6-2: VeraSun Energy Corporation - Key Financials (in Million US$), 2005-2007
• Table 6-3: Hawkeye Holdings LLC - Key Financials (in Million US$), 2004 & 2005
• Table 6-4: Aventine Renewable Energy, Inc. - Key Financials (in Million US$), 2005-2007