Abstract
Overview
The cellular industry invested over $13.7 billion (USD) in spectrum auctions. The cellular companies will need to recoup the investment, probably through fees charged to the public. Today' s cost for a cellular service with an average data communications service of 130 Kbps is about $80 a month. To be competitive with the advances in WiMAX and Wi-Fi, the fee for 4G services will need to be lower than the cellular companies expect. A better strategy for 4G operators would be to offer lower speeds with more capacity to handle more users as a bargain thereby fully loading the networks with subscribers. Usage based offerings with specific services, offering niche services at moderate speeds, may turn out to be the most effective and profitable method to roll-out 4G.
This publication is the third in a series of research from Mind Commerce that address the market place, the business drivers and the competition of the three major broadband wireless technologies with part one, Broadband Wireless: WiMax Industry, part two Broadband Wireless WiFi Industry and this report covering 4G cellular.
Key Findings
- The 4G services will need more MVNE' s to support the OSS/BSS infrastructure.
- Revenues will reach $2.5B, $9.1B for cellular data and small business DSL respectively by 2011
- Small business spending on Internet access will grow to $8.2 billion by 2009, up from $4.4 billion in 2005, largely due to adoption of DSL and higher bandwidth services.
- Spending on wireless data services will outpace all other categories in the SOHO segment, growing to nearly $2.2 billion in 2009, up from $0.47 billion in 2005
Table of Contents
- 1. Introduction
- 2. 4G Overview
- 3. 4G Implementation and Methodologies
- 4. 4G Developments
- a. 4G Service Applications
- b. 4G Wireless Network Comparisons
- 5. WiFi Developments
- 6. WiMAX Developments
- 7. Convergence, Consolidation and Compromise
- 8. 4G Vendor Ecosystems
- a. Access Point Equipment - Base Station Forecasts
- b. Handheld Phones, Chip Sets (Embedded)
- 9. The MVNO - The Driving Factor
- a. The Successful MVNO Industry Sector
- b. The 4G MVNE Industry Sector
- 10. Market Analysis 4G
- a. Challenges
- b. Advertising Revenue Forecasts
- 11. Conclusion
- 12. Technical Reference "Face-Off 4G vs. WiMAX vs. WiFi"
- 1. 2G to 4G Migration of Technologies
- 2. CDMA 2000/1xEVDO Platform
- 3. GSM/GPRS/EDGE Technology
- 4. UMTS/HSPA/HSDPA Technology
- 5. FEC Technology
- 6. IEEE 802.11 Standards
- 7. IEEE 802.16e, 802.16-2004 Standards
- 8. IEEE 802.20 Standards
- 9. WiFi VoFi Application
- 10. WiMAX - WiBro Application
- 11. UMA Technology
- 12. OFDM Technology
Tables and Figures
- Table 1 - 4G Roadmap Service Migration
- Table 2 - 4G Network Protocols
- Table 3 - Business Telecommunications Spending Trends 2006-2011
- Table 4 - Revenue Forecasts WiFi/Cellular Handsets, Dual Chips and Access Point Equipment (2007-2011)
- Table 5 - Estimated Advertisement Revenue Wireless Broadband Mobility Sector (2007-2011)
- Figure 1 - The Future Topology of Wireless Broadband Networks
- Figure 2 - Sprint' s 4G WiMAX Deployment Solution
- Figure 3 - 4G Roadmap WiBro, IEEE 802.16e
