Abstract
The world market for UAVs in 2000 represented only $2.4 billion. By 2007, it
is estimated this amount will reach nearly $5.6 billion, and exceed $10
billion by 2012. Visiongain expects the world UAV market to be worth nearly
$15 billion in 2016. The market may see an additional surge in demand if civil
UAV applications are enabled through the emergence of appropriate airspace.
This latest visiongain report provides all the information you need to
confidently decide the right strategy for your company in this dynamic market.
Unmanned aircraft have come into their own in the last decade. They play an
important role in Network Centric Warfare (NCW) / Network Enabled Capability
(NEC) concepts in both the United States and Europe, and are becoming a key
element in the inventories of the worlds militaries. In addition, the
development of Unmanned Combat Aerial Vehicles (UCAVs) is increasingly seen as
vital to the future of combat aerospace industrial capabilities in Europe and
the U.S. A growing appreciation of a potential civil market for UAV platforms
is also developing. But what are the future drivers that will fuel market
growth? Purchase this timely report to find out.
Key questions answered in this report include:
- What factors are attributable to the dynamic growth in the UAV market?
- What are the key drivers of UAV development and implementation?
- How is the UAV market likely to grow and expand in the next decade?
- What are the major trends in the UAV market?
- Who are the main companies involved in developing UAVs and their
technology?
- Where are the greatest opportunities for investment to be found in this
market?
This report provides:
Manufacturers. This report will allow you to learn from the successes of
current UAV platforms, and identify the future requirements that will drive
this lucrative market. Enterprises. This report provides a comprehensive look
at current and projected UAV requirements for both civilian and military
applications. It analyses the viability, benefits and profitability of
deployment in both sectors. Consultants and financial analysts. This report
critically assesses UAV performance in the military environment, and examines
both the potential benefits and challenges in adapting unmanned aircraft for
civilian use. It examines what impact these will have on key defence industry
manufacturers and on the market as a whole.
Table of Contents
1.0 Executive Summary
- 1.1 UAV limitations
- 1.2 The civilian market
2.0 UAV History
- 2.1 Israeli Pioneering
- 2.2 Global UAV Spread
- 2.2.1 U.S. Dominant UAV Player
- 2.2.2 Growing Importance of UAVs to a Range of Applications
3.0 UAV Definitions and Typologies
- 3.1 Air Segment
- 3.2 Ground Segment
- 3.3 Mission Type Determines Design Characteristics
- 3.4 UAV Categories
- 3.4.1Short- to medium-range UAVs
- 3.4.2Medium Altitude Long Endurance (MALE) UAVs
- 3.4.3High Altitude Long Endurance (HALE) UAVs
- 3.4.4Unmanned Combat Aerial Vehicles (UCAVs)
- 3.4.5Miniature or Micro UAVs
4.0 UAV Market Overview
- 4.1 UAV Market Estimates 2006-2014
- 4.1.1U.S. 2006 Quadrennial Defense Review Driving Growth
- 4.2 Markets by Region
- 4.2.1The EU Market
- 4.2.2The U.S. Market
- 4.2.3 U.S and EU UAV Spending Compared
- 4.2.4Global UAV Activity
5.0 UAV Missions
- 5.1 U.S Mission Planning Assumptions
- 5.2 Trends in UAV Missions
- 5.2.1 Two Major Mission Families
- 5.2.2 Persistence/non-aggressive missions
- 5.2.3 Aggressive Missions
- 5.2.2 Additional Missions
- 5.2.2.1 Security and Paramilitary Missions
- 5.2.2.2 Airlift and Support
- 5.3 Civilian UAV applications
- 5.3.1 Potential Civil Missions
- 5.3.2 Current Civil UAV Operations
- 5.3.2.1 EU Studies Show Wider Range of Civil UAV Applications
6.0 UAV Challenges
- 6.1 Costs
- 6.1.2 U.S. UAV Cost Baseline
- 6.2 Reliability
- 6.2.1 Reliabilty Issues Undermine Current UAV Applications
- 6.2.2 Reliability Improvements
- 6.3 Survivability
- 6.4 Bandwidth Requirements
- 6.4.1 Urban Contexts Especially Problematic
- 6.4.2 Improvements Dependent on Changes to Design and Communications
Infrastructure
- 6.5 Operational Issues
- 6.5.1 Field Operations Reveal Problems
- 6.5.2 Interoperability
- 6.5.1.2 U.S. Operations Reveal Deficiencies
- 6.5.1.3 Interoperability Issues in NATO and European UAV Applications
- 6.6 Logistical Issues
- 6.6.1 Fuel and Battery Requirements
- 6.6.2 Integration in Controlled Airspace
7.0 Emerging UAV Technological Requirements
- 7.1 Unmanned Requirements as a General Technology Driver
- 7.1.2 UAV Technology at a Watershed
- 7.2 Major Technological Issues
- 7.2.1 Control Technologies
- 7.2.1.1 Autonomy the Key Development
- 7.2.2 Communications
- 7.2.3 Data Links
- 7.2.4 Network-Centric Communications
- 7.2.5 Airframe
- 7.2.6 Propulsion
- 7.2.6.1 Fuel Efficiency a Propulsion Technology Driver
- 7.2.7 Payload Technologies
- 7.2.7.1Sensors
- 7.2.7.2 Communications Relay
- 7.2.7.3 Weapons
8.0 Other Unmanned Vehicles
- 8.1 Background
- 8.2 Unmanned Ground Vehicles (UGVs)
- 8.2.1 British Pioneer Modern UGV Applications
- 8.2.2 U.S. Developments
- 8.2.3 Future UGV Applications Growing
- 8.2.4 Potential UGV Applications
- 8.2.5 U.S Spending on UGVs and Robotics
- 8.2.5.1 U.S. UGV Programmes
- 8.3 Unmanned Marine Vehicles (UMVs)
- 8.3.1 UMV Technical Issues
- 8.3.2 Current UMV Activities
- 8.3.2.1 Industry Engagement
- 8.4 Market Overview
9.0 Aerospace and Defence Industrial Issues
- 9.1 Substitutability: Unmanned vs. Manned Aircraft
- 9.1.1 Direct Substitution Unlikely
- 9.1.2 Existing Combat Aircraft Primes are Adapting, but Face Challenges
from New Entrants
- 9.2 UAV National Programmes and Industrial Capabilities
10.0 World UAV Platforms
- 10.1 Europe
- 10.1.1 France
- 10.1.1.1 The Neuron Programme
- 10.1.1.2 Other French Programmes
- 10.1.2 Germany
- 10.1.2.1 German UAV Missions
- 10.1.2.2 German Industry Involvement
- 10.1.3 United Kingdom
- 10.1.3.1 UK UCAV Programmes
- 10.1.3.2 UK Likely to Collaborate with U.S.
- 10.1.4 Italy
- 10.1.5 Sweden
- 10.1.6 European Union
- 10.1.6.1 Russian Programmes
- 10.2 The Middle East
- 10.2.1 Israel
- 10.2.2 Iran
- 10.2.3 Turkey
- 10.2.4 United Arab Emirates
- 10.3 Asia
- 10.3.1 Pakistan
- 10.3.2 India
- 10.3.3 Japan
- 10.3.4 China
- 10.3.5 Singapore
- 10.3.6 Taiwan
- 10.3.7 South Korea
- 10.3.8 North Korea
- 10.4 Africa and Latin America
- 10.5 United States
- 10.5.1 UCAV Development
- 10.5.2 Industry Involvement
11.0 Future Prospects and Recommendations
- 11.1 UAVs a Significant but not Disruptive Technology
- 11.2 Current Limitations
- 11.3 But UAVs have Come of Age
- 11.4 No Significant Opposition to UAV Applications
- 11.5 Market Growth should be Strong, but some Questions Remain
- 11.6 UCAV Markets are More Doubtful
- 11.7 Security Threats a Key Market Driver
- 11.8 UAVs Central to Network Centric Warfare
- 11.9 WMD Sensitivities may Affect Market Development
- 12.0 Appendix A: Selected U.S. Medium to Large UAV Programs
- 12.1 MQ-1 General Atomics Predator
- 12.2 MQ-9 General Atomics Predator B
- 12.3 Pioneer Inc. RQ-2B
- 12.4 Northrop Grumman RQ-4B Global Hawk
- 12.5 Northrop Grumman RQ-5 Hunter
- 12.6 AAI RQ-7A/B Shadow 200
- 12.7 Boeing and Northrop Grumman J-UCAS
- 13.0 Sources
List of Tables and Figures
- Fig. 1 UAV Global Census
- Fig. 2 UAV System: Platform, Ground Stations and Communications Links
- Fig. 3 U.S. DoD Annual UAV Funding Profile
- Fig. 4 Civil UAV Market Growth
- Fig. 5 Civil UAV Applications
- Fig. 6 Manned versus Uninhabited Aircraft (U.S. projections)
- Fig. 7 Manned Aircraft versus UAVs in U.S. Inventory
- Fig. 8 Reconnaissance UAVs versus Manned Aircraft in U.S. Inventory
- Fig. 9 FY06 Budget Proposals for UAV RDT&E and Procurement
- Fig. 10 DOD UAV R&D, FY05 - FY09
- Fig. 11 Selected Global Military UAV Programmes
- Fig. 12 U.S. and European UAV Funding Compared
- Fig. 13 Evolution of U.S. UAV Applications
- Fig. 14 Costs of Selected U.S. UAV Platforms
- Fig. 15 Trends in UAV Autonomy
- Fig. 16 UAV Future Growth Forecast
- Fig. 17 World UAV Platform Manufacturers
- Fig. 18 Summary Status of Recent U.S. UAV Programmes
- Fig. 19 Market Demand Curves
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