行動WiMAX-世界市場的商機、戰略及預測（第2版）、2007∼2013年

This forward looking report forecasts subscriber numbers and service revenues from 2007 to 2013 for all mobile broadband technologies globally, by region and for 33 countries (mobile WiMAX only), Initially this detailed study provides an understanding of the technologies that will enable the delivery of mobile broadband applications and services, moving on to explore the market drivers and inhibitors of 802.16e mobile WiMAX whilst providing an overview of its market status by region-including detailed examples of in-service systems and trials.

The report also provides a number of in-depth case studies analysing operators that have either deployed, or plan to deploy 802.16e mobile WiMAX networks. The complete report also focuses on the equipment vendors that are active in the area of mobile WiMAX, with a valuable review of their strategies.

• How large will the mobile WiMAX market be over the next 5 years ?
• Which will be the top mobile WiMAX country markets in the future ?
• How will broadband ARPU trends change in the future ?
• What do key industry players believe are the market drivers and inhibitors for mobile WiMAX ?
• How much service revenue will be generated by mobile WiMAX ?
• What are the factors that will determine the success of mobile WiMAX ?
• What are the strategies of the leading mobile WiMAX chip, software and systems vendors ?
• How are mobile WiMAX network operators deploying their networks ?
• Where have mobile WiMAX network contracts been awarded in 2007 ?

• A unique source of research and analysis for the mobile WiMAX market including technologies, market characteristics and forecasts.
• Practical analysis of emerging opportunities for vendors & operators.
• Unique insights: includes interviews with leading industry players who have significant experience in the mobile WiMAX market.
• Benefit from fresh thinking and an intelligent market assessment from a respected thought leader.

Table of Contents

• Mobile WiMAX Subscriber Forecast
  • Figure ES.1: Global Mobile WiMAX Subscriber Forecast (m) by Region Cumulative, 2007 - 2013
  • Figure ES.2: Global Mobile WiMAX 2013 Subscriber Base (m) by Region
  • Figure ES.3: Top 20 Mobile WiMAX Country Markets 2013 Subscriber (000' s)
• Personal Broadband Key Market Drivers
  • Personal Connectivity
  • The Emerging Mobile Generation
  • New Applications and Services
    • Table ES.1: Top Applications & Services as Ranked by Survey Respondents
  • The Need for Mobility
• Key Market Trends for Mobile WiMAX
  • Main WiMAX Drivers
• Main WiMAX Inhibitors
• Mobile WiMAX: Market Status
• Operator Case Studies
• Vendor Profiles
• Recommendations
  • Mobile WiMAX Service Providers
  • Mobile WiMAX Vendors

• 1.1 WiMAX
  • 1.1.1 OFDM
    • Figure 1.1: OFDM Spectrum
  • 1.2 Mobile WiMAX (802.16e-2005)
    • Figure 1.2: WiMAX Timeline
    • Figure 1.3: Difference between OFDM and OFDMA
    • Table 1.1: Scalable OFDM: Sub Carrier Permutations
• 1.3 Flash OFDM
  • Figure 1.4: Network Layer Architecture for Flash OFDM
• 1.4 UMTS-TDD
• 1.5 HSPA (High Speed Packet Access)
  • Figure 1.5: HSDPA Performance Improvements
  • Figure 1.6: LTE Migration to Packet Core
• 1.6 CDMA 1X EVDO & UMB
• 1.7 Technology Comparisons
  • Table 1.2: Key Parameter Comparisons
  • 1.7.1 Coverage vs Throughput
  • 1.7.2 Frequency Reuse and Spectral Efficiency
  • 1.7.3 Frequency Selective Fading
    • Figure 1.7: Frequency Selective Fading: CDMA vs OFDM
  • 1.7.4 Power Control
  • 1.7.5 Adaptive Modulation and Coding
  • 1.7.6 Soft Handoff
  • 1.7.7 Cell Breathing
  • 1.7.8 Smart Antennas
• 1.8 Duplexing Techniques
  • 1.8.1 FDD (Frequency Division Duplexing)
    • Figure 1.8: Frequency Division Duplexing
  • 1.8.2 TDD (Time Division Duplexing)
    • Figure 1.9: Time Division Duplexing
• 1.9 Industry Associations
  • 1.9.1 WiMAX Forum
    • i. Marketing Working Group
    • ii. Service Provider Working Group
    • iii. Regulatory Working Group
    • iv. Technical Working Group
    • v. Network Working Group
    • vi. Applications Working Group
    • vii. Certification Working Group
    • viii. Global Roaming Working Group
    • ix. Evolutionary Technical Working Group
  • 1.9.2 WiMAX Certification
    • i. Development of Test Scripts and Validation
    • ii. Lab Preparation
    • iii. Validation of Test Scripts
    • iv. Certification Testing
      • a. Conformance Testing
      • b. Interoperability Testing
  • 1.9.3 WiMAX Spectrum Owners Alliance (WiSOA)
    • i. Roaming Working Group
    • ii. Developing Economies Working Group
    • iii. Specification & Joint Procurement Working Group
  • 1.9.4 GSM Association (GSMA)
    • i. Billing and Accounting Roaming Group
    • ii. Inter-working Roaming Expert Group
    • iii. Security Group
    • iv. Fraud Forum
    • v. Service Review Group
    • vi. Devices Group
    • vii. Transferred Account Data Interchange Group
    • viii. Interconnect Working Group
  • 1.9.5 CDMA Development Group (CDG)

• 2.1 Personal Connectivity
  • Figure 2.1: The Future of Connectivity, Content, Consumption and Context
  • Figure 2.2: OECD Broadband Penetration and GDP per Capita
• 2.2 The Emerging Mobile Generation
  • Figure 2.3: UK Mobile Youth Ownership by Age
• 2.3 New Applications and Services
  • 2.3.1 The Emergence of 3G and Mobile Content
    • Figure 2.4: The Evolution of Mobile Applications
    • Figure 2.5: Voice vs Data ARPU 2006 Estimated
    • Figure 2.6: UK Text Messaging Year-on-Year Growth (based on millions SMS/MMS per quarter)
    • Figure 2.7: Global Mobile Subscribers (m) in 2007 by Region
    • Figure 2.8: Global 3G Subscriber Base (%) by Country/Region in 2006
  • 2.3.2 Future Applications and Services
  • 2.3.3 Video iPod and iPhone Ignite Portable Video Revolution
• 2.4 The Need for Mobility
  • 2.4.1 Mobile Phones and Laptops
    • Figure 2.9: Worldwide Fixed vs. Mobile Lines per 100 Inhabitants
    • Figure 2.10: Consumers are Driving Mobility
  • 2.4.2 Mobile Access to Desktop PC Content
    • Figure 2.11: Orb Service on a PDA Accessing TV on the Desktop

• 3.1 Introduction
• 3.2 WiMAX Drivers
  • Table 3.1: Top WiMAX Drivers as Ranked by Survey Respondents
  • 3.2.1 100% IP
  • 3.2.2 Lack of Infrastructure in Developing Countries
  • 3.2.3 Attractive for Greenfield Operators
  • 3.2.4 Spectrum Availability & Efficiency
  • 3.2.5 High QoS & Data Rate
• 3.3 WiMAX Inhibitors
  • Table 3.2: Top WiMAX Inhibitors as Ranked by Survey Respondents
  • 3.3.1 Widespread Commercial Availability Unlikely Before 2009
  • 3.3.2 Poor Mobility
  • 3.3.3 New Network Build Required
  • 3.3.4 Service Differentiation
• 3.4 Conclusion
  • 3.4.1 Devices
  • 3.4.2 Cost
  • 3.4.3 Complementary or Competing Technologies?
    • Table 3.3: Complementary or Competing Technologies? (Views of Respondents)

• 4.1 North America
  • 4.1.1 Overall Status
  • 4.1.2 Trial Examples
    • Table 4.1: Mobile WiMAX (802.16e-2005) Trial Announcements 2007 to Date
  • 4.1.3 Contract Examples
    • Table 4.2: Mobile WiMAX (802.16e-2005) Network Contracts 2007 to Date
• 4.2 South America
  • 4.2.1 Overall Status
    • Table 4.3: Mobile WiMAX Announcements 2007 to Date
  • 4.2.2 Trial Examples
    • Table 4.4: Mobile WiMAX (802.16e-2005) Trial Announcements 2007 to Date
  • 4.2.3 Contract Examples
    • Table 4.5: Mobile WiMAX (802.16e-2005) Network Contracts 2007 to Date
• 4.3 Western Europe
  • 4.3.1 Overall Status
    • Table 4.6: Mobile WiMAX Announcements 2007 to Date
  • 4.3.2 Trial Examples
    • Table 4.7: Mobile WiMAX (802.16e-2005) Trial Announcements 2007 to Date
  • 4.3.3 Contract Examples
    • Table 4.8: Mobile WiMAX (802.16e-2005) Network Contracts 2007 to Date
• 4.4 Eastern Europe
  • 4.4.1 Overall Status
    • Table 4.9: Mobile WiMAX Announcements 2007 to Date
  • 4.4.2 Contract Examples
    • Table 4.10: Mobile WiMAX (802.16e-2005) Network Contracts 2007 to Date
• 4.5 Far East & China
  • 4.5.1 Overall Status
    • Table 4.11: Mobile WiMAX Announcements 2007 to Date
  • 4.5.2 Trial Examples
    • Table 4.12: Mobile WiMAX (802.16e-2005) Trial Announcements 2007 to Date
  • 4.5.3 Contract Examples
    • Table 4.13: Mobile WiMAX (802.16e-2005) Network Contracts 2007 to Date
• 4.6 Indian Sub Continent
  • 4.6.1 Overall Status
    • Table 4.14: Mobile WiMAX Announcements 2007 to Date
  • 4.6.2 Trial Examples
    • Table 4.15: Mobile WiMAX (802.16e-2005) Trial Announcements 2007 to Date
  • 4.6.3 Contract Examples
    • Table 4.16: Mobile WiMAX (802.16e-2005) Network Contracts 2007 to Date
• 4.7 Rest of Asia Pacific
  • 4.7.1 Overall Status
    • Table 4.17: Mobile WiMAX Announcements 2007 to Date
  • 4.7.2 Trial Examples
    • Table 4.18: Mobile WiMAX (802.16e-2005) Trial Announcements 2007 to Date
• 4.8 Africa & Middle East
  • 4.8 Overall Status
    • Table 4.19: Mobile WiMAX Announcements 2007 to Date
  • 4.8.2 Trial Examples
    • Table 4.20: Mobile WiMAX (802.16e-2005) Trial Announcements 2007 to Date
  • 4.8.3 Contract Examples
    • Table 4.21: Mobile WiMAX (802.16e-2005) Network Contracts 2007 to Date
• 4.9 Conclusion

• 5.1 Altech
  • i. Company Background
  • ii. Products & Services Overview
  • iii. WiMAX Network Description
  • iv. Future Developments
• 5.2 Danske Telecom
  • i. Company Background
  • ii. Products & Services Overview
  • iii. WiMAX Network Description
  • iv. Future Developments
• 5.3 DigitalBridge Communications
  • i. Company Background
  • ii. Products & Services Overview
  • iii. WiMAX Network Description
  • iv. Future Developments
• 5.4 FREEDOM4
  • i. The Company
  • ii. Products & Services
  • iii. WiMAX Trial Details
  • iv. WiMAX Strategy
• 5.5 Nth Air
  • i. The Company
  • ii. Products & Services
  • iii. WiMAX Trial Details
  • iv. WiMAX Trial Feedback and Future Developments
• 5.6 Urban WiMAX
  • i. Company Background
  • ii. Products & Services Overview
  • iii. WiMAX Network Description
  • iv. Future Developments

• 6.1 Semiconductor Vendors
  • 6.1.1 Atmel Corporation
    • i. The Company
    • ii. Key Markets
  • 6.1.2 NXP Semiconductors
    • i. The Company
    • ii. Products
    • iii. Strategy
      • Figure 6.1: NXP Value Creation Strategy
    • iv. Customers
• 6.2 Subsystem & Software Vendors
  • 6.2.1 AIRCOM International
    • i. The Company
    • ii. Products and Services
      • a. Consultancy Services
      • b. Software Solutions (ENTERPRISE 6.0)
      • c. Competence Development
      • d. Contractor Services
    • iii. Strategy
    • iv. Customers
  • 6.2.2 Andrew Corporation
    • i. The Company
    • ii. Products
    • iii. Solutions for 3G
    • iv. Mobile/WiMAX Strategy
    • v. Customers
  • 6.2.3 Aricent
    • i. The Company
    • ii. Products
    • iii. Strategy
    • iv. Customers
  • 6.2.4 Arieso
    • i. The Company
    • ii. Products
    • iii. Strategy
    • iv. Customers
  • 6.2.5 Harris Stratex Networks
    • i. The Company
    • ii. Products
    • iii. Strategy
    • iv. Customers
  • 6.2.6 Sasken Communication Technology
    • i. The Company
    • ii. Products
    • iii. Strategy
    • iv. Customers
  • 6.2.7 Spirent
    • i. The Company
    • ii. Products & Services
    • iii. Strategy
    • iv. Customers
  • 6.2.8 SyChip
    • i. The Company
    • ii. Products & Services
    • iii. Strategy
    • iv. Customers
• 6.3 System Vendors
  • 6.3.1 Airspan
    • i. The Company
    • ii. Products
    • iii. Strategy
    • iv. Customers
  • 6.3.2 Alvarion
    • i. The Company
    • ii. Products
    • iii. Strategy
    • iv. Customers
  • 6.3.3 Motorola
    • i. The Company
    • ii. Products and Services
    • iii. Strategy
    • iv. Customers
  • 6.3.4 Zyxel
    • i. The Company
    • ii. Products
      • Figure: 6.1: ZyXEL WiMAX Product Line
    • iii. Strategy
    • iv. Customers

• 7.1 Subscriber Forecasting Technique
  • 7.1.1 Methodology and Assumptions
    • Figure 7.1: Types of WiMAX Access Possible Under the IEEE Standards
  • 7.1.2 Geographical Splits
• 7.2 Key Factors
  • 7.2.1 Handset Issues
  • 7.2.2 Regulatory Issues
    • i. World Radiocommunications Conference Agreement
    • ii. European Commission
    • iii. Spectrum Auctions
    • iv. Further Countries
  • 7.2.3 Technical Spectrum Issues
    • Figure 7.2: 2.5GHz vs. 3.5Ghz
  • 7.2.4 Market Upside Opportunities
  • 7.2.5 ARPU
    • Figure 7.3: Mobile Broadband Forecast ARPU ($) by Region, 2007-2013
    • Table 7.1: Mobile Broadband Forecast ARPU ($) by Region, 2007-2013
  • 7.2.6 Mobile WiMAX Device Pricing
    • Table 7.2: Mobile WiMAX Device Wholesale Pricing Forecast ($), 2007-2013
• 7.3 Global Mobile Subscriber Forecast
  • Figure 7.4: Global Mobile Subscriber Forecast (m) by Region All Technologies Cumulative, 2007 - 2012
  • Table 7.3: Global Mobile Subscriber Forecast (m) by Region All Technologies Cumulative, 2007 - 2012
  • Figure 7.5: Global Mobile Broadband Subscriber Forecast (m) by Technology Cumulative, 2007 - 2012
  • Table 7.4: Global Mobile Broadband Subscriber Forecast (m) by Technology Cumulative 2007 - 2012
• 7.4 Global Mobile WiMAX Subscriber Forecast
  • Figure 7.6: Global Mobile WiMAX Subscriber Forecast (m) by Region Cumulative, 2007 - 2013
  • Table 7.5: Global Mobile WiMAX Subscriber Forecast (m) by Region Cumulative, 2007 - 2013
  • Figure 7.7: Global Mobile WiMAX 2013 Subscriber Base (m) by Region
  • Figure 7.8: Top 20 Mobile WiMAX Country Markets 2013 Subscribers (000' s)
• 7.5 Global Mobile WiMAX Service Revenues Forecast
  • Figure 7.9: Global Mobile WiMAX Service Revenue Forecast ($m p.a.) by Region, 2007 - 2013
  • Table 7.6: Global Mobile WiMAX Service Revenue Forecast ($m p.a.) by Region, 2007 - 2013
• 7.6 Global Mobile WiMAX Device Forecast
  • Figure 7.10: Global Mobile WiMAX Device Market Forecast ($m p.a.) by Region, 2007 - 2013
  • Table 7.7: Global Mobile WiMAX Device Market Forecast ($m p.a.) by Region, 2007 - 2013

• 8.1 North America Overview
• 8.2 Subscriber, Service Revenue & Device Forecasts
  • 8.2.1 Country Market Size & Growth
    • Figure 8.1: North America Mobile WiMAX Subscriber Forecast (000' s) by Country 2007 - 2013
    • Table 8.1: North America Mobile WiMAX Subscriber Forecast (000' s) by Country 2007 - 2013
    • Figure 8.2: North America Mobile WiMAX Service Revenues Forecast ($m) by Country 2007 - 2013
    • Table 8.2: North America Mobile WiMAX Service Revenues Forecast ($m) by Country 2007 - 2013
    • Figure 8.3: North America Mobile WiMAX Devices Market Forecast ($m) by Country 2007 - 2013
    • Table 8.3: N. America Mobile WiMAX Devices Market Forecast ($m) by Country 2007 - 2013
  • 8.2.2 Canada Market Commentary
  • 8.2.3 USA Market Commentary

• 9.1 South America Overview
• 9.2 Subscriber, Service Revenue & Device Forecasts
  • 9.2.1 Country Market Size & Growth
    • Figure 9.1: South America Mobile WiMAX Subscriber Forecast (000' s) by Country 2007 - 2013
    • Table 9.1: South America Mobile WiMAX Subscriber Forecast (000' s) by Country 2007 - 2013
    • Figure 9.2: South America Mobile WiMAX Service Revenues Forecast ($m) by Country 2007 - 2013
    • Table 9.2: South America Mobile WiMAX Service Revenues Forecast ($m) by Country 2007 - 2013
    • Figure 9.3: South America Mobile WiMAX Devices Market Forecast ($m) by Country 2007 - 2013
    • Table 9.3: South America Mobile WiMAX Devices Market Forecast ($m) by Country 2007 - 2013
  • 9.2.2 Brazil Market Commentary
  • 9.2.3 Chile Market Commentary
  • 9.2.4 Mexico Market Commentary
  • 9.2.5 Venezuela Market Commentary

• 10.1 Western Europe Overview
• 10.2 Subscriber, Service Revenue & Device Forecasts
  • 10.2.1 Country Market Size & Growth
    • Figure 10.1: Western Europe Mobile WiMAX Subscriber Forecast (000' s) by Country 2007 - 2013
    • Table 10.1: Western Europe Mobile WiMAX Subscriber Forecast (000' s) by Country 2007 - 2013
    • Figure 10.2: Western Europe Mobile WiMAX Service Revenues Forecast ($m) by Country 2007 - 2013
    • Table 10.2: Western Europe Mobile WiMAX Service Revenues Forecast ($m) by Country 2007 - 2013
    • Table 10.3: Western Europe Mobile WiMAX Devices Market Forecast ($m) by Country 2007 - 2013
  • 10.2.2 France Market Commentary
  • 10.2.3 Germany Market Commentary
  • 10.2.4 Italy Market Commentary
  • 10.2.5 Netherlands Market Commentary
  • 10.2.6 Norway Market Commentary
  • 10.2.7 Spain Market Commentary
  • 10.2.8 UK Market Commentary

• 11.1 Eastern Europe Overview
• 11.2 Subscriber, Service Revenue & Device Forecasts
  • 11.2.1 Country Market Size & Growth
    • Figure 11.1: Eastern Europe Mobile WiMAX Subscriber Forecast (000' s) by Country 2007 - 2013
    • Table 11.1: Eastern Europe Mobile WiMAX Subscriber Forecast (000' s) by Country 2007 - 2013
    • Figure 11.2: Eastern Europe Mobile WiMAX Service Revenues Forecast ($m) by Country 2007 - 2013
    • Table 11.3: Eastern Europe Mobile WiMAX Service Revenues Forecast ($m) by Country 2007 - 2013
    • Figure 11.3: Eastern Europe Mobile WiMAX Devices Market Forecast ($m) by Country 2007 - 2013
    • Table 11.3: Eastern Europe Mobile WiMAX Devices Market Forecast ($m) by Country 2007 - 2013
  • 11.2.2 Poland Market Commentary
  • 11.2.3 Russia Market Commentary

• 12.1 Far East & China Overview
• 12.2 Subscriber, Service Revenue & Device Forecasts
  • 12.2.1 Country Market Size & Growth
    • Figure 12.1: Far East & China Mobile WiMAX Subscriber Forecast (000' s) by Country 2007 - 2013
    • Table 12.1: Far East & China Mobile WiMAX Subscriber Forecast (000' s) by Country 2007 - 2013
    • Figure 12.2: Far East & China Mobile WiMAX Service Revenues Forecast ($m) by Country 2007 - 2013
    • Table 12.2: Far East & China Mobile WiMAX Service Revenues Forecast ($m) by Country 2007 - 2013
    • Figure 12.3: Far East & China Mobile WiMAX Devices Market Forecast ($m) by Country 2007 - 2013
    • Table 12.3: Far East & China Mobile WiMAX Devices Market Forecast ($m) by Country 2007 - 2013
  • 12.2.2 China Market Commentary
  • 12.2.3 Japan Market Commentary
  • 12.2.4 S. Korea Market Commentary
  • 12.2.5 Taiwan Market Commentary

• 13.1 Indian Sub Continent Overview
• 13.2 Subscriber, Service Revenue & Device Forecasts
  • 13.2.1 Country Market Size & Growth
    • Figure 13.1: Indian Sub Continent Mobile WiMAX Subscriber Forecast (000' s) by Country 2007 - 2013
    • Table 13.1: Indian Sub Continent Mobile WiMAX Subscriber Forecast (000' s) by Country 2007 - 2013
    • Figure 13.2: Indian Sub Continent Mobile WiMAX Service Revenues Forecast ($m) by Country 2007 - 2013
    • Table 13.2: Indian Sub Continent Mobile WiMAX Service Revenues Forecast ($m) by Country 2007 - 2013
    • Figure 13.3: Indian Sub Continent Mobile WiMAX Devices Market Forecast ($m) by Country 2007 - 2013
    • Table 13.3: Indian Sub Continent Mobile WiMAX Devices Market Forecast ($m) by Country 2007 - 2013
  • 13.2.2 India Market Commentary
  • 13.2.3 Pakistan Market Commentary

• 14.1 Rest of Asia Pacific Overview
• 14.2 Subscriber, Service Revenue & Device Forecasts
  • 14.2.1 Country Market Size & Growth
    • Figure 14.1: Rest of Asia Pacific Mobile WiMAX Subscriber Forecast (000' s) by Country 2007 - 2013
    • Table 14.1: Rest of Asia Pacific Mobile WiMAX Subscriber Forecast (000' s) by Country 2007 - 2013
    • Figure 14.2: Rest of Asia Pacific Mobile WiMAX Service Revenues Forecast ($m) by Country 2007 - 2013
    • Table 14.2: Rest of Asia Pacific Mobile WiMAX Service Revenues Forecast ($m) by Country 2007 - 2013
    • Figure 14.3: Rest of Asia Pacific Mobile WiMAX Devices Market Forecast ($m) by Country 2007 - 2013
    • Table 14.3: Rest of Asia Pacific Mobile WiMAX Devices Market Forecast ($m) by Country 2007 - 2013
  • 14.2.2 Australia Market Commentary
  • 14.2.3 Malaysia Market Commentary
  • 14.2.4 Thailand Market Commentary

• 15.1 Africa & Middle East Overview
• 15.2 Subscriber, Service Revenue & Device Forecasts
  • 15.2.1 Country Market Size & Growth
    • Figure 15.1: Africa & Middle East Mobile WiMAX Subscriber Forecast (000' s) by Country 2007 - 2013
    • Table 15.1: Africa & Middle East Mobile WiMAX Subscriber Forecast (000' s) by Country 2007 - 2013
    • Figure 15.2: Africa & Middle East Mobile WiMAX Service Revenues Forecast ($m) by Country 2007 - 2013
    • Table 15.2: Africa & Middle East Mobile WiMAX Service Revenues Forecast ($m) by Country 2007 - 2013
    • Figure 15.3: Africa & Middle East Mobile WiMAX Devices Market Forecast ($m) by Country 2007 - 2013
    • Table 15.3: Africa & Middle East Mobile WiMAX Devices Market Forecast ($m) by Country 2007 - 2013
  • 15.2.2 Saudi Arabia Market Commentary
  • 15.2.3 South Africa Market Commentary