Abstract
IEMR' s Japan Handset Vendor and Technology Forecast provides historical and forecasted (2004 - 2011) information on handset shipments by unit shipments, air interface, generation, and form factor in the Japan market.
Notable highlights of the 2Q08 Japan Handset Vendor and Technology Forecast include:
- Unit shipments in Japan are expected to rise only modestly from 52.5 million units in 2008 to 55.5 million units in 2011.
- In Japan, converged mobile devices account for over one-half of all handsets sold (compared to the worldwide average of 16% only). We expect this trend to continue during the forecast period with 27.8 million converged mobile devices shipped in the Japanese market by 2011.
- In Japan, a shift from 2G to 3G occurred much earlier than in other parts of the world. Over the forecast period of 2008 - 2011, we expect 3G handset shipment in Japan to increase from 45.1 million to 49.4 million, accounting for 89% of all handsets sold in the Japanese market.
IEMR' s Handset Forecasts are based on our proprietary, vendor-specific forecasting models. These models deploy multiple regression analysis and cross-impact matrices that estimate relationships between subscriber data, technology use and deployment data, overall economic and demographic changes expected in a particular region; and relate these to company operational and financial metrics.
Table of Contents
Country Covered in this Handset Forecast: Japan
Companies Covered in this Handset Forecast:
- Nokia
- Motorola
- Samsung
- LG
- Sony-Ericsson
- Executive Summary
- 55.5 million units forecasted to be shipped in 2011
- 89% of all handsets in Japan will be 3G handsets in 2011
- UMTS/WCDMA is the most common type of air interface in Japan
- Top 5 vendors in the global handset market continue to be locked out of Japan
- Sony Ericsson shows strength in the 3G handset market
The following charts are available in an Excel Sheet:
- Charts 1-11 Annual Results & Forecasts for this Handset Market
- Chart 1: TOTAL HANDSET SHIPMENTS (millions), CY04 - CY11E
- Chart 2: TOP 5 VENDOR HANDSET SHIPMENTS, CY04 - CY06
- Chart 3: TOP 5 VENDOR MARKET SHARES BY SHIPMENTS, CY04 - CY06
- Chart 4: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY GENERATION, CY04 - CY11E
- Chart 5: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY GENERATION (% of total shipments), CY04 - CY11E
- Chart 6: TOP 5 VENDOR 3G HANDSET SHIPMENTS, CY04 - CY06
- Chart 7: TOP 5 VENDOR 3G HANDSET MARKET SHARE BY SHIPMENTS, CY04 - CY06
- Chart 8: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY FORM FACTOR, CY04 - CY11E
- Chart 9: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY FORM FACTOR (% of total shipments), CY04 - CY11E
- Chart 10: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY AIR INTERFACE, CY04 - CY06
- Chart 11: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY AIR INTERFACE (% of total shipments), CY04 - CY06
- Charts 12-22 Quarterly Results for: March 04 - Dec 06
- Chart 12: TOTAL HANDSET SHIPMENTS (millions)
- Chart 13: TOP 5 VENDOR HANDSET SHIPMENTS
- Chart 14: TOP 5 VENDOR MARKET SHARES BY SHIPMENTS
- Chart 15: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY GENERATION
- Chart 16: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY GENERATION (% of total shipments)
- Chart 17: TOP 5 VENDOR 3G HANDSET SHIPMENTS
- Chart 18: TOP 5 VENDOR 3G HANDSET MARKET SHARE BY SHIPMENTS
- Chart 19: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY FORM FACTOR
- Chart 20: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY FORM FACTOR (% of total shipments)
- Chart 21: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY AIR INTERFACE
- Chart 22: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY AIR INTERFACE (% of total shipments)
