Abstract
IEMR' s United States Handset Vendor and Technology Forecast provides historical and forecasted (2004 - 2011) information on handset shipments by unit shipments, air interface, generation, and form factor in the United States market. Vendors with complete coverage include: Nokia, Motorola, Samsung, LG, and Sony-Ericsson.
Notable highlights of the 2Q08 United States Handset Vendor and Technology Forecast include:
- Unit shipments into the United States are expected to rise from 183 million units in 2008 to 202 million in 2011. The biggest story as far as unit shipments are concerned is that we are expecting that shipments of converged mobile devices in the United States will increase from 25.6 million in 2008 to 44.4 million in 2011, an increase of 74% over the forecast period.
- We expect 33% of the 202 million shipments that will take place in 2011 to be 3G handsets.
- While Motorola continues to have the largest market share in the United States, we think that Motorola' s handset pipeline is weak. Over 2006 - 07, LG performed quite well in the United States 3G handset market. While LG' s overall market share by shipments was 15% in 2006 in the United States, its 3G handset market share was was 34.2% (8.5 million 3G handsets). We expect both LG and Samsung to make in-roads into Motorola' s territory in the U.S. market.
IEMR' s Handset Forecasts are based on our proprietary, vendor-specific forecasting models. These models deploy multiple regression analysis and cross-impact matrices that estimate relationships between subscriber data, technology use and deployment data, overall economic and demographic changes expected in a particular region; and relate these to company operational and financial metrics.
Table of Contents
Country Covered in this Handset Forecast
- United States
Companies Covered in this Handset Forecast
- Nokia
- Motorola
- Samsung
- LG
- Sony-Ericsson
Executive Summary
- 202 million units forecasted to be shipped in 2011
- Shift from 2G handsets to 3G handsets continues
- CDMA is the most used type of air interface in the United States
- Motorola is the leading player in the US handset market
- LG shows strength in the 3G handset market
The following charts are available in an Excel Sheet:
- Charts 1-11 Annual Results & Forecasts for this Handset Market
- Chart 1: TOTAL HANDSET SHIPMENTS (millions), CY04 - CY11E
- Chart 2: TOP 5 VENDOR HANDSET SHIPMENTS, CY04 - CY06
- Chart 3: TOP 5 VENDOR MARKET SHARES BY SHIPMENTS, CY04 - CY06
- Chart 4: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY GENERATION, CY04 - CY11E
- Chart 5: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY GENERATION (% of total shipments), CY04 - CY11E
- Chart 6: TOP 5 VENDOR 3G HANDSET SHIPMENTS, CY04 - CY06
- Chart 7: TOP 5 VENDOR 3G HANDSET MARKET SHARE BY SHIPMENTS, CY04 - CY06
- Chart 8: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY FORM FACTOR, CY04 - CY11E
- Chart 9: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY FORM FACTOR (% of total shipments), CY04 - CY11E
- Chart 10: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY AIR INTERFACE, CY04 - CY06
- Chart 11: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY AIR INTERFACE (% of total shipments), CY04 - CY06
- Charts 12-22 Quarterly Results for: March 04 - Dec 06
- Chart 12: TOTAL HANDSET SHIPMENTS (millions)
- Chart 13: TOP 5 VENDOR HANDSET SHIPMENTS
- Chart 14: TOP 5 VENDOR MARKET SHARES BY SHIPMENTS
- Chart 15: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY GENERATION
- Chart 16: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY GENERATION (% of total shipments)
- Chart 17: TOP 5 VENDOR 3G HANDSET SHIPMENTS
- Chart 18: TOP 5 VENDOR 3G HANDSET MARKET SHARE BY SHIPMENTS
- Chart 19: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY FORM FACTOR
- Chart 20: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY FORM FACTOR (% of total shipments)
- Chart 21: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY AIR INTERFACE
- Chart 22: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY AIR INTERFACE (% of total shipments)
