Abstract
This IDC study identifies and discusses the top 10 trends that IDC believes will have a material impact on the application development and deployment (AD&D) markets during 2008 and the first half of 2009. These predictions cover a broad range of topics, including SOA, business process management, event-driven architectures, on-demand development, virtualization, and software appliances.
However, the specter of a tepid U.S. GDP in 2008 weighs heavily on everyone' s mind. There is virtual certainty that financial service vendors will be hit especially hard. Given the pullback of consumer end-of-year spending and dramatic oscillations in the Dow on even modest bad news, it appears that the economy is on a tenuous footing that will likely have some impact on IT spending in 2008 and 2009.
"Despite the uncertainty that exists in the U.S. economy, vendors are delivering development and deployment technology and tools that significantly improve organizational productivity," said Stephen D. Hendrick, group vice president for application development and deployment research at IDC. "Additionally, new business models focused around on-demand and in-the-cloud computing may finally unlock the door to the middle market."
Table of Contents
- Table of Contents
- Predictions
- In This Study
- Situation Overview
- A Review of 2007 Predictions
- Future Outlook
- A Preface to Our Top 10 Predictions
- Figure: The Subprime Storm of Doom
- Figure: U.S. GDP and IT Spending Growth, 1995-2006
- Ordering the Top AD&D Trends for 2008
- 1. SOA Will Become More Critical in Forming the Foundation for Provisioning and Consuming Services in the Cloud
- 2. BPM Will Be Increasingly Viewed as a Must-Have Despite the Gloomy Economy
- 3. Event-Driven Architecture Will Not Be Just for Tickers and Tags
- 4. With On-Demand Application Development, Vendors Will Attempt to Disrupt the Status Quo with New Services-Based Offerings
- 5. Java-Based Platform Vendors Will Target the Midmarket but Will Not Be Materially Successful in 2008
- 6. All Leading Software Vendors Will Provide Data-Focused Support for Virtualization
- General Definition of Virtualization
- Benefits of Virtualization
- Key Use Cases
- Prediction
- 7. Usability Will Gain Prominence on the List of Application Development Requirements
- 8. Appliances Will Gain Steam in 2008, But More Out-of-the Box Thinking Will Be Needed
- 9. IT Portfolio Management Will Provide the Missing Application Life-Cycle Management Link - IT Governance Will Emerge
- 10. Open Source Software Will Impact Business Decisions More
- Essential Guidance
- Learn More
- Related Research
- Synopsis
