Contrary to the claims of many industry pundits, the long-haul systems industry is not moribund, and will show signs of recovery this year. In the near term, that recovery will mean increased sales of cards to extend the capacity of existing systems but soon sales of new systems will pick up as well, as carriers find they have to extend the capacity and capabilities of their networks.
This new report presents detailed market forecasts of the long-haul market over the next four years, based on analysis of demand trends, and interviews with carriers and equipment vendors. Forecasts for systems are broken down by technology (WDM, SONET and switching), and by data-rate, channel count, and reach where appropriate, while switching sales are broken down by whether the switching fabric is optical or electrical. Graphs are included to show key aspects of each market at-a-glance.
Executive Summary
- E.1 What Are We Forecasting?
- E.2 DWDM
- E.3 SONET
- E.4 Switching
- E.5 Our Forecasting Methodology
Chapter One: Introduction
- 1.1 Objectives of the Report
- 1.2 Scope of the Report
- 1.3 Methodology and Information Sources
- 1.4 Plan of the Report
Chapter Two: Market Survey
- 2.1 Who Will Buy Long-Haul Equipment?
- 2.2 Four-Year Forecasts
- 2.3 Forecasting Methodology
- 2.4 Various Technical Issues
- 2.4.1 Ring vs. Mesh Networks
- 2.4.2 Ultra-Long Haul
- 2.4.3 Other
Chapter Three: Wavelength-Division Multiplexing
- 3.1 Expanding the Old, Extending with the New
- 3.2 Channel Count
- 3.3 Managed Wavelength Services
Chapter Four: SONET
- 4.1 The Protocol of Choice
- 4.2 OC-12 and OC-48
- 4.3 OC-192
- 4.4 OC-768
Chapter Five: Switching
- 5.1 Not an All-Optical World Yet
- 5.2 Meeting the Price-Point Challenge
Definitions of Acronyms Used in This Report
About the Authors
List of Exhibits
- North America, Revenue from Long-Haul Systems by Protocol/ Function {NS2 Long-Haul v1-0.xls, Summary}
- North America Shipments of WDM Channels by System Type by Reach {NS2 Long-Haul v1-0.xls, WDM Channels by Reach 1&2}
- North America Shipments of WDM Channels by System Type and Channel Count {NS2 Long-Haul v1-0.xls, WDM Channels by System 1&2}
- North America Shipments of SONET Transport Ports by Data Rate {NS2 Long-Haul v1-0.xls, SONET}
- North America Shipments of Switching Systems by Technology
