英國公寓房間•公寓大樓市場：市場預測（2008年至2012年）

Abstract

INTRODUCTION and OVERVIEW

This new report focuses specifically on recent developments in the rapidly changing housebuilding sector in relation to the switch to flats in recent years.

Key areas in the report:

• Detailed Assessment of the Flats/Apartments Market - volume completions, review by country/region within UK, analysis by sector (private/public), mix by size, storey height etc.
• Key Market Influences - housing densities, land availability, buy-to-let, affordable housing, Government influences etc
• Review of Housebuilders - analysis of major housebuilders, focus on flats sector.
• Focus on Prefabricated Building Products/Off-Site Manufacture - overview of product ranges (timber frame, steel, concrete), use of OSM in public & private sector housing, recent developments, future trends.
• Forecasts up to 2012 - short/long term trends, market drivers, will the trend to flats continue??

Areas of particular interest:

• Focus on major changes in housebuilding -
• Review of switch to flats - growth since 2000, drivers, mix by storey height, region, number of bedrooms etc.
• Trends between the private and public sector and the growth of affordable housing.
• mpact of Sustainable Communities Plan, Affordable Housing Programme and Code for Sustainable Homes and the growth of MMC and OSM techniques
• Forecasts to 2012 - impact of current downturn on sector - longer term prospects.

Key areas covered in the report include:

FLATS / APARTMENTS MARKET

• Overview of housebuilding market - overall output levels by sector, recent trends, key influencing factors - household formations up to 2029, affordable housing, Government policy and investment etc.
• Current market conditions, overview of the market during 2006/07 - impact of market downturn, forecasts of completions 2008-2012 - short and long term prospects for sector.
• Focus on growth of flats - rapid growth in volumes, share changes 2000-2006, future prospects (market saturation?)
• Review of key market drivers for flats - economy / consumer confidence, land availability, housing densities, affordable housing, key workers, buy-to-let market, urban regeneration etc.
• Regional analysis - mix of flats by England/Scotland/Wales/N. Ireland (2003-07), mix by region in England (2000-06) - influence of Southern England, etc
• Analysis of flats market by sector - Private/ public, changing market mix, mix by size, storey heights (regional comparisons), increasing influence of mixed-use developments on brown-field sites etc
• Factors influencing the flats market, implications of the Barker Report, the Sustainable Communities Plan and the Affordable Housing Programme, Code for Sustainable Homes etc, etc.
• Forecasts up to 2012 - volume forecasts, key factors to influence longer term trends.

HOUSE-BUILDERS

• Overall market size, number of builders.
• Analysis of market shares of leading housebuilders, comparisons of changing shares in recent years.
• Focus on builders/developers in flats sector.

MODERN METHODS OF CONSTRUCTION (MMC)/OFF-SITE MANUFACTURE (OSM)

• Overview of factors influencing use of MMC and pre-fabricated building materials in flats sector - share of timber frame, steel and concrete - future trends etc., such as environmental and sustainability factors and government policy.
• Advantages/Disadvantages of OSM, use of OSM in public/private housing sectors. Current usage levels, forecasts of future trends.
• Product review - types of MMC - timber, steel frames, bathroom pods, etc.

Table of Contents

1. INTRODUCTION

2. SUMMARY & FUTURE PROSPECTS

• 2.1 CURRENT MARKET STATUS
• 2.2 FUTURE PROSPECTS

3. ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT

• 3.1 GDP
• 3.2 INFLATION & INTEREST RATES
• 3.3 UNEMPLOYMENT
• 3.4 HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION
• 3.5 HOUSING & CONSTRUCTION
• 3.6 STERLING
• 3.7 POPULATION PROFILE
• 3.8 CONCLUSIONS

4. THE NEW HOUSING MARKET

• 4.1 DEFINITION
• 4.2 OVERALL MARKET PERFORMANCE
  • 4.2.1 Housing Starts and Completions by Volume
  • 4.2.2 Value of Housebuilding
  • 4.2.3 Key Influencing Factors on New Housebuilding
• 4.3 HOUSING COMPLETIONS
  • 4.3.1 Overall Figures
  • 4.3.2 Mix of Housebuilding Completions

5. CONSTRUCTION OF FLATS

• 5.1 OVERVIEW BY COUNTRY IN UK
• 5.2 FLATS BY REGION
• 5.3 FLATS BY SIZE
• 5.4 DENSITY AND LAND USE

6. FLATS MARKET - SECTOR PROFILE

• 6.1 MIXED BY STOREYS
• 6.2 MIXED BY BEDROOMS

7. AFFORDABLE HOUSING

• 7.1 COMMUNITIES ENGLAND
• 7.2 NATIONAL AFFORDABLE HOUSING PROGRAMME
• 7.3 SECTION 106 AGREEMENTS
• 7.4 MODERN METHODS OF CONSTRUCTION

8. CONSTRUCTION MATERIALS

• 8.1 OVERVIEW OF MMC
• 8.2 TIMBER FRAME

9. HOUSEBUILDERS AND DEVELOPERS

• 9.1 RELATIONSHIP WITH COMMERCIAL DEVELOPERS & CONSTRUCTION COMPANIES
• 9.2 REVIEW OF KEY DEVELOPERS

10. MARKET FORECASTS

• 10.1 VOLUME FORECASTS
• 10.2 FACTORS INFLUENCING TRENDS
  • 10.2.1 Buy to Let
  • 10.2.2 Buy to Leave Flats
  • 10.2.3 Socio Economic
  • 10.2.4 Zero Carbon Homes
  • 10.2.5 Code for Sustainable Homes
  • 10.2.6 Planning and Building Regulations
  • 10.2.7 Affordability
  • 10.2.8 Dwelling Size
  • 10.2.9 OFT Report
  • 10.2.10 Summary of Key Drivers

TABLES AND CHARTS

• CHART 1 UK HOUSEBUILDING COMPLETIONS 1996 - 2012
• CHART 2 INTEREST RATES AND INFLATION (CPI) FROM 1990-2010
• CHART 3 PDI & SAVINGS RATIO AT CURRENT PRICES 1990-2010
• TABLE 4 EXCHANGE RATE FLUCTUATIONS 2000-2008 - STERLING TO THE DOLLAR, AND THE EURO, SPOT RATES
• CHART 5 AGE DISTRIBUTION OF THE RESIDENT UK POPULATION 2001 (‘000)
• TABLE 6 PERFORMANCE OF THE UK NEW HOUSEBUILDING MARKET 1997 - 2007
• TABLE 7 UK VALUE OF HOUSEBUILDING - CONTRACTORS OUTPUT AT CURRENT PRICES (£ MILLION) 1997 - 2007
• TABLE 8 HOUSEHOLD ESTIMATES/PROJECTIONS - ENGLAND 2004 - 2029 (‘000S)
• TABLE 9 HOUSE BUILDING COMPLETIONS AND FORECASTS 1997-2012 - UNITED KINGDOM (‘000 DWELLINGS)
• CHART 10 HOUSEBUILDING COMPLETIONS - % MIX BY HOUSES / FLATS GB 2001-2007
• CHART 11 CONSTRUCTION OF NEW FLATS IN THE UK 2003 - 2007
• CHART 12 COMPLETIONS OF HOUSES AND FLATS - ENGLAND 2003-2007 BY NUMBER
• CHART13 COMPLETIONS OF FLATS BY REGION - ENGLAND 2000 - 2006
• CHART 14 FLAT COMPLETIONS BY SIZE AND TENURE- 2000-2006 - ENGLAND
• CHART 15 NEW HOUSING DEVELOPMENT - DENSITY (NEW DWELLINGS PER HECTARE) 1990-2006
• TABLE 16 DENSITIES OF NEW DWELLINGS BUILT, BY REGION, 2000-2006
• CHART 17 FLAT COMPLETIONS BY NUMBER OF STOREYS -ENGLAND 2006
• CHART 18 FLATS - STOREY HEIGHTS BY REGION -2006
• CHART 19 CONSTRUCTION OF NEW FLATS, UK 2006/07 - BY NO. OF BEDROOMS
• CHART 20 COMPLETIONS OF FLATS BY REGION AND NO. OF BEDROOMS PUBLIC AND PRIVATE SECTORS - 2006
• CHART 21 MOST POPULAR FLATS BY SIZE AND STOREYS - ENGLAND 2006
• CHART 22 MIX OF SOCIAL HOUSING - RENT / LOW COST OWNERSHIP - 2002/03 - 2007/08
• CHART 23 CONSTRUCTION OF FLATS - UK BY TYPE OF MATERIAL - TRADITIONAL, TIMBER FRAME, STEEL/CONCRETE
• CHART 24 TIMBER FRAME DWELLINGS IN THE UK - MIX BY HOUSES / FLATS 2006
• TABLE 25 MAJOR TIMBER FRAME SUPPLIERS - MARKET SHARES FLATS SECTOR - UK 2006
• CHART 26 CHANGES IN REGIONAL SPATIAL PLANNING GUIDANCE 2001-07
• TABLE 27 LEADING DEVELOPERS IN FLATS MARKET
• CHART 28 FORECAST CONSTRUCTION OF FLATS UK 2003 - 2012
• CHART 29 FORECAST CONSTRUCTION OF FLATS - ENGLAND, SCOTLAND, WALES AND NORTHERN IRELAND
• CHART 30 CODE FOR SUSTAINABLE HOMES - KEY CATEGORIES OF CODE POINTS
• TABLE 31 COST PREMIUM FOR CODE LEVEL 3 OVER ECOHOMES ‘VERY GOOD'
• TABLE 32 IMPACT OF 2016 HOUSING TARGET IN ENGLAND - VOLUME MIX BY REGION AND MARKET AFFORDABILITY