Abstract
The 7th Edition of the ABS T&D Report reveals a surge in the global T&D market and we predict that the market will remain strong for up to five years. This electricity market research report is continuously expanded, with new categories of information and more extensive detail. It is a substantial document of 458 pages containing overall analysis of the transmission and distribution systems, chapters dealing with each of 183 individual countries and detailed statistical tables of line lengths and system capacity. Capital expenditure and market sizes for 8 categories of T&D equipment and business service are sized and forecast for each year from 2007 to 2012. 114 network maps are contained within the report as well as a series of tables detailing the international interconnections which are enhancing access to generating capacity for many countries and optimising use of surplus capacity. The Power Pools now emerging around the world are outlined. This new emphasis, assembling the network maps, information about the Power Pools and details of interconnections, enables a more comprehensive understanding of the process of interlinking national power systems globally. The tables in the Excel database include further analysis of voltage levels in individual countries. A detailed analysis of global transmission and distribution networks which total 5.8 million km in transmission lines and 61 million km of distribution lines is contained. This electricity market research report also examines this country by country and projects growth annually until 2012.
A voltage analysis is provided where possible. The report also looks at markets for transmission and distribution equipment examining total capital expenditure and sizes individual markets for 8 categories of equipment and business service. The markets are defined in 2 categories: A broader market of $92 billion for all products in 2007, equipment and services, with total capex of $154 billion including installation costs and a smaller more concentrated market for high tech products and added-value services excluding cables and lines, which is estimated at $62 billion in 2007 (a substantial increase on $54 billion in 2006). This transmission and distribution market research report contains a detailed section for each country examining the T&D industry, its structure, its size and the entities involved in it, up-dated to 2007.
The previous edition of this report identified a number of important factors which we believed to be shaping the direction of transmission and distribution globally and which would have significant impacts on the market in the coming years. These predictions have proved accurate and the present report reveals a large surge in capital expenditure in T&D in 2006/07 and the coming years. The most important finding of this edition of the ABS T&D Report is the significantly increased levels of capital expenditure on T&D in 2006 and 2007 and the prediction that this optimistic outlook will continue for another five years.
Table of Contents
Contents
1 Executive Summary
- Market Size and Market Leaders
- Drivers of Growth
- T&D Network Developments
- International Transmission Developments
- Underground Cables
- New and Replacement Markets
- Global T&D Market Factors
2. Market Size
- The Transmission and Distribution Systems
- Historical Development of Transmission and Distribution
- Value of the Market
- Product and Business Definition
- Classical Products
- Transformers
- Switchgear
- HV Cables
- Overhead Lines
- Insulators and Fittings
- EHV Towers
- Products and Sysytems
- Power Systems
- Utility Automation
- Market Definition and Size
- Addressable Market Size
- Capital Expenditure and Operational Expenditure
- Market Factors
- Composition of construction cost
3. Major T&D Manufacturers
- The Global T&D Companies
- T&D Activity in China
4. International Transmission Grids
- Europe
- UCTE
- ETSO
- CENTREL
- NORDEL
- BALTREL - Baltijos Ziedas - the Baltic Ring
- UPS Unified Power Systems
- BG/RO
- SUDEL
- Medring
- The Middle East and North African Inter-Connectors
- Middle East - Mashreq Arab Countries
- North Africa
- Pan-African Interconnection Plans
- Trans-African - Interconnection between Zaire and Egypt passing through other
- Egypt-Sudan link
- Sudan-Ethiopia Power Link
- South African Power Pool (SAPP)
- Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS)
- West Africa - Interconnection of Mauritania-Senegal-Mali
- East Africa - Great Lakes Region
- Americas - from North to South
- Canada
- United States
- South of the Border
- The Northern Triangle of Central America
- Interconnection in Central America
- SIEPAC
- South America Regional Energy Sector Integration
- Comision de Integracion Electrica Regional (CIER)
- Interconnections in South America
- ASEAN Power Grid
- Northeast Asia
- Cenral Asian Grids
- South Asian Association for Regional Co-operation (SAARC)
5. Europe
- European Transmission and Distribution Network Structures
- Albania
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Austria
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Belgium
- TSO
- Jurisdiction
- DNOs - Distribution system operators
- Bosnia Herzegovina
- Transmission and Distribution
- Distribution Companies
- Bulgaria
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Croatia
- Croatian transmission network
- Cyprus
- Development Plan
- Czech Republic
- Transmission
- Power grid control
- Distribution
- Interconnections
- Denmark
- TSOs
- Electricity Transmission Network
- Distribution
- Estonia
- Transmission and Distribution
- Baltrel
- Network Map 5-8: Estonian transmission network
- Finland
- Transmission
- TSO
- Distribution
- Interconnections
- France
- TSO
- DNOs
- Network Map 5-10: French transmission network of 225 kV and 400 kV lines
- Germany
- The control areas of the four German TSOs:
- Verbandervereinbarung
- Greece
- TSO
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Interconnections
- Hungary
- ISO
- Distribution
- Interconnections
- Iceland
- Transmission and distribution
- Ireland
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Interconnections
- Italy
- TSO
- Distribution
- Latvia
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Lithuania
- DNOs
- Baltrel
- Luxembourg
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Macedonia
- Transmission and Distribution
- Interconnections
- Malta
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Network Code
- Netherlands
- TSO
- Distribution
- Power Exchange
- Norway
- TSO
- Interconnections
- Poland
- TSO
- International Trade
- Polish Power Exchange
- Portugal
- The Portuguese Transmission Network
- Distribution
- Romania
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Interconnections
- Serbia and Montenegro
- Transmission
- Distribution companies
- Slovakia
- Transmission
- Distribution Utilities (RDUs)
- Interconnections
- Slovenia
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Interconnections
- Spain
- TSO
- Major Electricity Groups
- Distribution
- Integrated Iberian Electricity Market
- Sweden
- TSO
- Distribution
- Interconnections
- Switzerland
- TSOs
- Turkey
- Transmission and Distribution
- Interconnections
- United Kingdom
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Supply
- The Networks and Energy Companies in the UK in 2006
- NationalGrid
- CE Electric UK
- Central Networks
- EDF Energy
- Scottish and Southern Energy (SSE)
- Scottish Power Energy Networks
- Northern Ireland Electricity (NIE)
- United Utilities
- Western Power Distribution
- UNMIK Kosovo
6. CIS - Commonwealth of Independent States (European)
- Armenia
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Interconnections
- Belarus
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Interconnections
- Georgia
- Transmission
- Dispatch
- Distribution
- International Electricity Trade
- Moldova
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Interconnections
- Russia
- Restructuring of the Russian ESI
- Transmission
- Distribution and supply
- Physical Characteristics of the ESI
- Generating capacity and generation
- Transmission and Distribution
- Distribution
- Interconnections
- Ukraine
- Transmission
- Wholesale Electricity Market: State Enterprise "Energorynok"
- Distribution
- Interconnections
7. CIS - Commonwealth of Independent States (Central Asia)
- Azerbaijan
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Interconnections
- System Up-grades and Modernisation
- Kazakhstan
- Transmission
- Distribution
- International electricity trade
- Kyrgyzstan
- Transmission
- Distribution
- International Electricity Trade
- Tajikstan
- Distribution companies
- Interconnections
- Turkmenistan
- Uzbekistan
8. Africa - Mahgreb
- Makgreb Interconnection
- Algeria
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Regulator
- Egypt
- Transmission
- National Energy Control Centre (NECC)
- Distribution
- Interconnections and the Africa Grid
- Libya
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Interconnections
- Mauritania
- Morocco
- The open market
- The regulated market
- Transmission and distribution responsibilities
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Rural electrification
- Interconnections
- Sudan
- Interconnections
- Tunisia
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Interconnections
9. Africa - Sub-Saharan
- Sub-Saharan Power Pools
- SAPP - The Southern African Power Pool
- WAPP - The West African Power Pool
- EAPP - The East African Power Pool
- PEAC/CAPP - The Central African Power Pool or Pool Energétique d' Afrique Centrale
- Angola
- Benin
- Bophutatswana
- Botswana
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Interconnections
- Burkina Faso
- Transmissison
- Distribution
- Interconnections
- Burundi
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Cameroon
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Interconnections
- Cape Verde
- Central African Republic
- Chad
- Ciskei
- Comoros
- Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC)
- Transmission
- Congo, Republic
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Cote d' Ivoire
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Interconnections
- Djibouti
- Ethiopia
- Gabon
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Gambia
- Ghana
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Interconnections
- Guinea
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Guinea-Bissau
- Guinea Equatorial
- Kenya
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Lesotho
- Liberia
- Madagascar
- Malawi
- Mali
- Mauritius
- Mozambique
- Namibia
- Niger
- Nigeria
- Transmission
- Kaduna Regional Transmission
- Lagos Regional Transmission
- Shiroro Regional Transmission
- Enugu Regional Transmission
- Bauchi Regional Transmission
- Benin Regional Transmission
- National Control Centre, Osogbo
- Distribution
- Rwanda
- Sao Tome & Principe
- Senegal
- Seychelles
- Sierre Leone
- Somalia
- South Africa
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Rural Electrification
- Southern African Power Pool (SAPP)
- Swaziland
- Tanzania
- Transmission and distributio
- Interconnections
- Future plans
- Togo
- Transkei
- Uganda
- Venda
- Zambia
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Zimbabwe
10. Middle East
- Bahrain
- Transmission and Distribution
- Iran
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Interconnections
- Iraq
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Israel
- Jordan
- Kuwait
- Lebanon
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Oman
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Qatar
- Saudi Arabia
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Syria
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Interconnections
- UAE
- Transmission and Distribution
- Yemen
11. South Asia - Indian Sub-Continent
- Afghanistan
- Bangladesh
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Bhutan
- India
- Structure of the Indian ESI
- Central Transmission Utility (CTU)
- State Transmission Utility (STU)
- Transmission losses
- Regional and state organisation of the ESI
- NREB - Northern Regional Electricity Board
- WREB - Western Regional Electricity Board
- SREB - Southern Regional Electricity Board
- EREB - Eastern Regional Electricity Board
- NEREB - North-Eastern Regional Electricity Board
- Reform and Unbundling of SEBs
- Unbundled state transmission companies
- Other reforms in States
- Physical assets
- New Players in distribution
- Maldives
- Nepal
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Interconnections
- Pakistan
- Unbundling and privatisation
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Interconnections
- Sri Lanka
- Transmission
- Distribution
12. East Asia
- China
- Restructuring
- Generation
- Transmission Networks
- State Grid Corporation of China (SG)
- China Southern Power Grid Corporation Ltd. (CSG)
- Regional Interconnections
- North China Power Network
- Northeast Power Network
- Northwest Power Network
- East China Power Network
- Central China Power Network (including Sichuan and Chongqing Power
- Shandong Power Grid (Connected to NCPN)
- Fujian Power Grid (Connected to ECPN)
- South China Interconnected Power Network
- Future development, the Unified Power Grid of China
- Distribution
- Rural Electrification
- Interconnections with Thailand
- Possible Power Cooperation with Russia
- Hong Kong SAR
- Macau SAR
- Japan
- Transmission System
- Distribution Networks
- Transmission Interconnections
- Korea North
- Korea South
- Generation
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Mongolia
- Transmission and distribution
- Distribution
- Interconnections
- Taiwan
- Deregulation and Privatisation Plans
- Transmission
- Distribution
13. ASEAN
- Brunei
- Cambodia
- Future Development
- Power Development Plan
- Interconnection with Thailand
- Interconnection with Vietnam
- Indonesia
- Transmission and distribution
- Java-Sumatra Interconnection
- East-South Kalimantan Interconnection
- Laos
- Distribution Grids
- Interconnections
- Interconnection Plan
- Malaysia
- Transmission
- Peninsular Malaysia
- Sarawak
- Sabah
- Interconnections
- Myanmar
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Philippines
- ESI Structure and Liberalisation
- Transmission grids
- Distribution
- Electric Power Industry Reform Act (EPIRA)
- Wholesale Market
- Singapore
- Transmission and distribution
- Interconnections
- Thailand
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Vietnam
- Transmission
- Development plans
- Distribution
14. Pacific
- Australia
- Interlinked Transmission
- Fiji
- New Zealand
- Timeline
- The ESI in 2006
- North Island
- South Island
- Wholesale Market
- Papua New Guinea
- Distribution
- Solomon Islands
- Tonga
- Western Samoa
15. South America
- Argentina
- Distribution
- Interconnections
- Bolivia
- Transmission
- Regional transmission lines
- Distribution
- Interconnection
- Brazil
- Eletrobras
- Regional subsidiaries of Eletrobas
- Minority holdings of Electrobras
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Transmission plans
- Medium term transmission plans
- Long term transmission plans
- Distribution system
- Ten-year investment plan 1997/2006
- Chile
- Generation
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Colombia
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Ecuador
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Interconnection
- French Guiana
- Guyana
- Paraguay
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Interconnection
- Peru
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Interconnection
- Surinam
- Uruguay
- Venezuela
- Transmission
- Distribution
16. Central America and the Caribbean
- Bahamas
- Barbados
- Belize
- Bermuda
- Costa Rica
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Interconnections
- Cuba
- Transmission and Distribution
- Dominican Republic
- Transmission and distribution
- El Salvador
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Interconnections
- Guatemala
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Haiti
- Honduras
- Jamaica
- Mexico
- Transmission and distribution
- Interconnections
- SIEPAC
- Netherlands Antilles
- Nicaragua
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Panama
- Transmission
- Distribution
- Interconnection
- Puerto Rico
- St Lucia
- Trinidad and Tobago
- Trinidad
- Tobago
17. North America
- Canada
- Interprovincial trade
- US trade
- Market structure and regulation
- Alberta
- The restructured Alberta Market
- British Columbia
- Market structure and regulation
- Restructuring initiatives
- Manitoba
- Market structure and regulation
- New Brunswick
- Market structure and regulation
- Newfoundland
- Northwest Territories
- Nova Scotia
- Market structure and regulation
- Ontario
- Trade
- Market structure and regulation
- Hydro One Inc
- Distribution
- Prince Edward Island
- Quebec
- Interprovincial trade
- International trade
- Market structure and regulation
- Saskatchewan
- Market structure and regulation
- Yukon
- USA
- Background of the ESI in the US
- The origins and development of the US transmission system
- Crisis in the US electrical system
- Cascading outages
- November 9, 1965: Northeast Blackout
- July 13, 1977: New York City Blackout
- December 22, 1982: West Coast Blackout
- July 2-3, 1996: West Coast Blackout
- August 10, 1996: West Coast Blackout
- June 25, 1998: Upper Midwest Blackout
- Common or similar factors among major outages
- California
- Regulatory framework
- Composition of the 10 Regional Councils
- ASCC (Alaska System Coordination Council
- ECAR (East Central Area Reliability Coordination Agreement)
- ERCOT (Electric Reliability Council of Texas)
- MAIN (Mid-America Interconnected Network)
- MAAC (Mid-Atlantic Area Council)
- MAPP (US) (Mid-Continent Area Power Pool)
- NPCC (US) (Northeast Power Coordinating Council)
- SERC (Southeastern Electric Reliability Council)
- SPP (Southwest Power Pool)
- WSCC (US) (Western Systems Coordinating Council
- FRCC (Florida Reliability Coordinating Council)
- The HI Region
- NERC operational amd planning standards
- 1. Balance power generation and demand continuously
- 2. Balance reactive power supply and demand to maintain scheduled voltages
- 3. Monitor flows over transmission lines and other facilities to ensure that thermal (heating) limits are not exceeded
- 4. Keep the system in a stable condition
- 5. Operate the system so that it remains in a reliable condition even if a contingency occurs, the N-1 criterion
- 6. Plan, design, and maintain the system to operate reliably
- 7. Prepare for emergencies
- RTOs (Regional Transmission Organisations)
- Standard Market Design and Structure (SMD)
- Distribution
- Demand-side management
- Aging infrastructure
- The reasons for the low commitment to infrastructure
- Competition
- Grid 2030
- Smart Power Delivery
- National Electricity Backbone
- Regional interconnections
- Local, mini- and micro-grids
- Information technologies
- New materials
- Distributed energy resources
- Automation
- Power electronics controllers
- Computer modelling of market tools
- Communications architecture
- Energy Portals
18. Underground Cables
- National underground penetration in Western Europe
- Austria
- Belgium
- Denmark
- Finland
- France
- Distribution networks should be underground or protected
- Transmission networks
- Germany
- Greece
- Ireland
- Italy
- Luxembourg
- Netherlands
- Norway
- Portugal
- Spain
- Sweden
- Switzerland
- United Kingdom
- Possible contribution of underground cables to the European energy infrastructure
- Available technologies for underground cables
- Technical aspects
- AC underground cables
- DC underground cables
- New technological developments
- Gas insulated line (GIL)
- High temperature superconducting cables (HTS)
19. Market forecast parameters
- Network statistics- historical and forecast
- Market forecasts
- Annual market
20. Methodology of Models and Forecasts
- Methodology
- Stage 1 - T&D forecasts
- The Master Database
- Capital expenditure validation
- Stage 2
- MVA: MW > 6
- MVA: MW - 4 to 6
- MVA: MW < 4
- Stage 3
- Stage 4
- Large country models - USA, China, Russia, Brazil
